Summary of China Jushi (600176.SS) Post 1H25 Results Group Meeting Company Overview - **Company**: China Jushi - **Industry**: Glass Fiber and E-fabric Key Points 1. Optimistic Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the 2026E outlook for glass fiber and E-fabric business, while catching up in the low-DK market, which is considered a minor segment with limited profit contribution [1][2] 2. Glass Fiber Market Dynamics - Stronger demand in 2025 driven by wind power and thermoplastics, despite low-end pricing pressures - Year-over-year growth observed in July-August, with a positive outlook for Q4 and 2026E - New demand from PV frame penetration expected to boost demand in 2026E - Jushi employs a strict "sell-what-you-produce" pricing strategy and is selectively exiting low-end market segments [2][3] 3. E-fabric Performance - Volume and price performance exceeded expectations this year - A second-round price hike was paused due to a drop in copper prices from Rmb80k to Rmb70k - Management remains positive on price outlook for 2026E [3] 4. Specialty Glass Fiber - The current market is in an early stage with demand exceeding supply - Sinoma S&T targets a capacity of 120 million tons, with the total market expected at 200 million tons - Jushi aims to achieve a 15% market share for new products by the end of the 15th Five-Year Plan [3] 5. Overseas Capacity Expansion - Current capacity stands at 50,000 tons, with an additional 50,000 tons planned as CNBM is set to build more facilities overseas - Overseas demand growth is primarily driven by Asia, with notable increases in Mexico, Canada, and the Middle East - European thermoplastic demand is soft due to EV slowdown, while U.S. and Egypt facilities may offset export limits from tariffs [4] 6. Capital Expenditure - 70-80% of capital expenditure is allocated to E-fabric this year - Guidance for 2026E is expected in early October [4] 7. Valuation and Target Price - Target price set at Rmb15/share, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 19x on 2025E net income, indicating a recovery year following 2024's inflection point [7] 8. Risks - Major downside risks include weaker-than-expected demand for glass fiber products, rising energy costs, and greater-than-expected capacity additions - Upside risks include better-than-expected demand and supply-side discipline that could protect margins [8] 9. Financial Metrics - Current share price: Rmb14.840 - Target price: Rmb15.000 - Expected share price return: 1.1% - Expected dividend yield: 1.6% - Expected total return: 2.7% - Market capitalization: Rmb59,407 million (approximately US$8,321 million) [5] Additional Insights - The management's focus on maintaining a disciplined pricing strategy and selective market exits indicates a strategic approach to enhance profitability in a competitive landscape - The emphasis on overseas expansion and new product development aligns with global demand trends, particularly in renewable energy sectors This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call regarding China Jushi's performance and strategic outlook in the glass fiber and E-fabric industry.

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - The report highlights the impact of US tariffs on various sectors including appliances, autos, industrial tech, and solar companies, indicating a cautious recovery in production and shipment from China [1][4][19] China Consumer Durables - On average, companies in the consumer durables sector derive 35% of revenues from exports to overseas markets and 7% from exports to the US [2] - Companies are partially resuming production in China, but the pace of recovery varies based on global production capacity [4] - Tariff costs are largely borne by US clients, influencing manufacturers' decisions to resume production in China [4][5] China Autos - Auto OEMs derive 6%-26% of total revenue from China exports and 0%-10% from exports to the US [7] - Companies are cautious about restocking due to high warehousing costs and potential demand decline [7][8] - Some auto suppliers report stable or increasing orders post-tariff reduction, with minimal impact from US-China trade tensions [8][9] China Industrial Tech - Companies in the industrial tech sector are experiencing weakening domestic demand for capital goods, particularly among consumer goods manufacturers [12][14] - Despite a reduction in tariffs from 145% to 30%, the effective tariff burden remains around 55% for thin-margin manufacturers, leading to hesitance in new investments [14][17] China Solar - Solar exporters have seen a meaningful recovery in US shipments following tariff rollbacks, with companies restocking inventory ahead of upcoming regulations [19][20] - There is limited room for further pricing negotiations due to rising demand uncertainty and previous price increases [19][20] - Companies are becoming more cautious about capital allocation to the US, seeking diversified geographical exposure instead [20][21]