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Insmed Inc. (INSM): Ph2b TPIP PAH数据超预期
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-11 05:45
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Insmed Inc. (INSM) with a 12-month price target of $112, representing an upside potential of 58.5% from the current price of $70.68 [21]. Core Insights - Insmed Inc. reported positive topline data from the Phase 2b TPIP PAH trial, meeting all primary and secondary efficacy endpoints, which resulted in a 35% placebo-adjusted reduction in pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) and a 35.5m placebo-adjusted improvement in the 6-minute walk test (6MWT) [1][2]. - The data suggests that TPIP has the potential to significantly alter the pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) treatment landscape, with a new gross sales estimate of $1.55 billion in PAH alone and $3.2 billion across both PAH and PH-ILD [1][16]. - The report highlights the pharmacologic advantages of TPIP, including its once-daily formulation, which is expected to improve patient compliance compared to competitors that require more frequent dosing [16]. Summary by Sections Efficacy Data - TPIP achieved a 35% placebo-adjusted reduction in PVR at week 16, significantly exceeding the company's best-case scenario of 25% [2]. - The trial also demonstrated a 60% placebo-adjusted reduction in NT-proBNP and a 15% placebo-adjusted improvement in cardiac index, indicating strong efficacy [7][16]. Safety Profile - TPIP was generally well tolerated, with 95% of patients completing the study and enrolling in the open-label extension study [6]. - Treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) occurred in 88.4% of TPIP patients, with serious TEAEs observed in 7.2% [8]. Market Potential - The addressable PAH population is estimated at approximately 90,000 patients, with management's expectations for peak sales of over $2 billion likely to be revised higher based on the positive trial results [16]. - The report emphasizes that TPIP's once-daily dosing and pharmacologic profile position it as a best-in-class prostanoid, potentially disrupting the current treatment landscape for PAH [16].