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富途控股_收益回顾_业绩向好,但在用户付费增长未进一步提升的情况下,对高估值持谨慎态度;中性-Futu Holdings (FUTU)_ Earnings review_ positive but cautious on rich valuation without further upgrade of paying user growth from the briefing. Neutral
2025-08-21 04:44
Summary of Futu Holdings (FUTU) Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Futu Holdings (FUTU) - **Market Capitalization**: $23.5 billion - **Current Price**: $168.52 - **12-Month Price Target**: $137.94 - **Downside Potential**: 18.1% [1][6][17] Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue Estimates**: - 2025E: HK$ 19,778.8 million (up from HK$ 17,689.6 million) - 2026E: HK$ 18,744.6 million (up from HK$ 17,792.8 million) - 2027E: HK$ 19,276.0 million [7][18] - **Net Income Estimates**: - 2025E: HK$ 9,097.9 million - 2026E: HK$ 7,879.4 million - 2027E: HK$ 7,981.3 million [7][18] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2025E: HK$ 65.33 - 2026E: HK$ 56.58 [7][18] Growth and Performance Insights - **Client AUM Growth**: - Revised estimates for 2025E/26E client AUM growth of +5%/+6%, indicating year-over-year growth of 37%/12% [2] - **Operating Expenses**: - Operating expenses for 2025E/26E revised down by -3% on average, reflecting strong performance in Q2 [3] - **New Initiatives**: - Launch of virtual asset trading in the US, HK, and SG, with a total virtual asset balance of HK$ 4 billion and peak daily trading size of US$ 40 million in July [4] - Significant improvement in Japan market penetration with a 50% quarter-over-quarter increase in trading volume in Q2 [4] Market and Valuation Considerations - **Valuation Multiples**: - P/E ratio for 2025E: 20.1x - P/B ratio for 2025E: 4.9x [12][19] - **Risks**: - Upside risks include better-than-expected growth in paying clients and AUM, while downside risks involve weaker-than-expected growth in these areas [20][21] Conclusion - The company maintains a **Neutral** rating due to rich valuation despite positive growth indicators and strategic initiatives. The price target has been adjusted upward by 10% from the previous target of US$ 124.89 to US$ 137.94 [1][17][20]