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Can AXP Keep Its ROE Shining While Expenses Climb the Ladder?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 18:16
Core Insights - American Express Company (AXP) has demonstrated strong performance in the payments sector, achieving a return on equity (ROE) of 35.9% in Q3 2025, an increase from 33.9% year-over-year [1][8] Financial Performance - Total expenses for American Express rose by 10% in 2023, 6% in 2024, and 10% year-over-year in Q3 2025, driven by increased spending on rewards, services, marketing, and business development [2][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for American Express' 2025 earnings is projected at $15.43 per share, indicating a 15.6% increase from the previous year [10] Competitive Landscape - Visa Inc. reported a 13% year-over-year increase in adjusted operating expenses in Q4 fiscal 2025, while returning $6.1 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends [5] - Mastercard's adjusted operating expenses rose by 15% year-over-year in Q3 2025, with share buybacks totaling $3.3 billion and dividends of $687 million [6] Strategic Initiatives - American Express is leveraging AI, machine learning, and fraud detection to enhance customer experience and optimize operations, which supports revenue growth amid rising costs [3][8] - The company introduced Amex Ads, a digital advertising platform aimed at improving brand engagement with American Express Card Members [2] Valuation Metrics - American Express trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20.75X, lower than the industry average of 23.56X, and holds a Value Score of C [9]