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KraneShares' Brendan Ahern breaks down what's behind China's overnight rally
CNBC Television· 2025-07-10 18:13
and their markets have seen a big rebound in stock markets in the past three months. The Shanghai Composite up nearly 9%, the FXI ETF up more than 15%, the KWEB Internet ETF up about that amount as well. Joining us now is Brendan Ahern.He's the chief investment officer at Crane Shares. Brendan, bring us up to speed. I mean you might have heard a little bit of that discussion about um sort of the future of some companies like Apple in China but more specifically amid rumors swirling about the health of Xiinp ...
China Growth Is on a 'Moderating Trend,' JPMorgan's Ng Says
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-30 20:05
Economic Outlook - Despite the trade truce, economic numbers appear soft, necessitating a broader perspective [1] - Macro policy improvements in September of last year, along with front-loaded activity in Q1, led to solid data in Q4 of last year and Q1 of this year [2] - The underlying economic momentum is moderating due to trade tariff issues with the US and increasing external uncertainty [2][3] - The baseline expectation is for sequential growth of the Chinese economy to slow from approximately 66% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 to around 35% in Q2, and further to 3% in Q3 [3] - PMI numbers align with expectations of moderating economic momentum [4] Sector Performance - Diverging trends exist across different sectors, with China's exports to the US down 40% in April and May [5] - Sectors receiving policy support, such as training subsidies and equipment upgrades, are performing well [6] - The housing sector continues to be a drag on the economy and has not yet bottomed out [6] - Consumer sentiment outside of policy support areas remains at a historical low [7] Policy Implications - Domestic and consumption support are crucial for policy focus this year [7] - Subsidies for consumer durables and autos have shown some impact, but their effect will fade by year-end [7] - Further policy support, particularly for services consumption, is needed [8]