Workflow
Post - Pandemic Recovery
icon
Search documents
Where Will Carnival Corp Stock Be in 3 Years?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-05-21 09:54
Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corp. has successfully rebounded from the COVID-19 pandemic, achieving record revenues in Q1 2025 and showing potential for continued growth in the coming years [2][3]. Financial Performance - Carnival reported record revenue and customer deposits in Q1 2025, indicating strong business momentum [3]. - The company earned $1.44 per share in 2024, with analysts estimating earnings of $1.86 per share in 2025, $2.14 in 2026, and $2.93 in 2027 [8]. - The stock has risen over 50% in the past year but still trades nearly 70% below its all-time high [7]. Debt Management - Carnival has reduced its long-term debt from $35 billion in 2023 to approximately $27 billion [5]. - The company is refinancing its debt to lower interest expenses, saving about $100 million in expected interest costs for 2025 [6]. Valuation and Future Projections - With a P/E ratio of 16, Carnival's valuation is below that of the S&P 500, which may be justified due to its debt and capital-intensive nature [8]. - If Carnival maintains its P/E ratio and meets earnings estimates, the stock could potentially reach approximately $47 in three years, implying a doubling of its current price [9]. Market Conditions - Consumer sentiment is currently low, with household credit card debt at an all-time high and federal student loan payments resuming, which could impact discretionary spending on vacations [12].