Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities indicates that the electricity trading results for Guangdong Province in 2026 are in line with expectations, with potential profitability pressure on thermal power units, while the spot market is expected to provide performance increments [1]. Group 1: Electricity Pricing and Trading - The average transaction price for thermal power is 372.14 cents/kWh, down 5.03% year-on-year, which is close to the market reference price's downward adjustment of 20% [1]. - The green electricity transaction price is 372.21 cents/kWh, with an environmental premium of 4.93 cents/kWh, leading to a comprehensive price of 377.14 cents/kWh, down 3.88% year-on-year, but higher than the mechanism price of 360 cents/kWh [1]. - The trading volume of green electricity in 2026 is expected to increase by 17.74% year-on-year, reaching 4.779 billion kWh compared to 4.059 billion kWh in 2025 [1]. Group 2: Capacity Pricing and Overall Electricity Price - Starting from January 2026, the coal power capacity subsidy in Guangdong will increase from 100 yuan/kW to 165 yuan/kW, resulting in a capacity price increase of 0.016 yuan/kWh year-on-year [2]. - The annual comprehensive electricity price for coal power units in Guangdong is projected to be 0.414 yuan/kWh, down 0.78% year-on-year, indicating stability [2]. Group 3: Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The electricity supply-demand situation in Guangdong is expected to remain loose in 2026, continuing the trend from 2025, with an anticipated increase in installed capacity [3]. - The spot market prices are expected to exhibit greater volatility due to the large-scale entry of green electricity, allowing operators to profit through flexible strategies [3]. - The functional premium of thermal power is expected to be highlighted through the spot market as green electricity enters the market in large quantities [3].