Prediction

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X @IcoBeast.eth🦇🔊
IcoBeast.eth🦇🔊· 2025-07-12 11:24
Prediction time (yes it does have to do with pump ico)05f553e98be2218583ab9657b6722bcd8cc260900def6b035142e936c7de46fclet's see ...
X @Consensys.eth
Consensys.eth· 2025-07-11 14:53
RT Linea.eth (@LineaBuild)Say hello to the new home of prediction markets on Linea @MyriadMarkets! Welcome. ...
前 OpenAI 研究员 Kevin Lu:别折腾 RL 了,互联网才是让大模型进步的关键
Founder Park· 2025-07-11 12:07
「停止研究 RL 吧,研究者更应该将精力投入到产品开发中,真正推动人工智能大规模发展的关键技术是互联网,而不是像 Transformer 这样的模型架 构。」 前 OpenAI 研究员 Kevin Lu 最近更新了一篇博客长文《The Only lmportant Technology ls The Internet》,直指互联网才是推动人工智能进步的核心技术, 是 next-token 预测的完美补充。 Kevin Lu 认为,没有 Transformer 架构,我们可能也会拥有 GPT-4.5 级别的大模型。在 GPT-4 模型以来,基础模型的能力并没有显著的提升,我们可能会 像 2015-2020 年时代的 RL 研究一样,重蹈覆辙,正在进行无关紧要的 RL 研究。 而互联网提供了丰富而海量的数据来源,这些数据具有多样性、能提供自然的学习课程、代表了人们真正关心的能力,并且是一种经济上可行的规模化部 署技术。相比之下,单靠优化模型结构、手工制作数据集或微调算法,都难以带来模型能力质的飞跃。 有趣的是,Kevin Lu 此前在 OpenAI 任职时的主要研究方向之一正是 RL。在推特上,有博主评论道,「当 ...
X @Decrypt
Decrypt· 2025-07-10 22:20
Market Focus - Myriad Markets is covering Bitcoin's recent price surge [1] - Myriad Markets is covering PENGU's ETF approval chances [1] - Myriad Markets is covering Wimbledon [1]
X @Decrypt
Decrypt· 2025-07-10 20:19
Myriad Moves: Will Bitcoin Stay Hot? This Week's Buzziest Prediction Markets► https://t.co/O6JGWm2fmj https://t.co/O6JGWm2fmj ...
X @TylerD 🧙♂️
TylerD 🧙♂️· 2025-07-10 15:35
Multiple pieces of big news out of Myriad 📢1️⃣ Launching the 'Myriad Protocol' designed to power prediction markets everywhere2️⃣ Beginning a multi-chain journey, expanding to Linea3️⃣ Building on EigenCloud, enabling trustless revenue sharing, censorship-resistance oracles, synthetic tokens and more4️⃣ Working on the foundation for a unified liquidity hub for any EVM chainAll moving towards the vision of bringing prediction markets "everywhere, for everyone" ...
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About BlackRock (BLK) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 14:16
Core Viewpoint - BlackRock is expected to report quarterly earnings of $10.77 per share, a 4% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $5.38 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year growth [1]. Earnings Estimates - Wall Street analysts have revised the consensus EPS estimate upward by 1.7% over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment of forecasts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Revenue- Technology services revenue' at $493.72 million, a year-over-year increase of 25% [5]. - 'Revenue- Advisory and other revenue' is expected to reach $59.44 million, reflecting a 12.1% year-over-year increase [5]. - 'Revenue- Investment advisory performance fees' is forecasted at $156.55 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 4.6% [5]. - The consensus for 'Revenue- Distribution fees' is $323.27 million, a 1.7% year-over-year increase [6]. - 'Revenue- Total investment advisory, administration fees and securities lending revenue' is expected to be $4.36 billion, showing a 12.6% year-over-year growth [6]. Assets Under Management - 'Assets under management - Cash management' is projected at $771.17 billion, down from $778.04 billion year-over-year [7]. - 'Total Assets Under Management' is expected to reach $11,679.24 billion, up from $10,645.72 billion in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Assets under management - Long-term' is forecasted at $10,762.03 billion, compared to $9,867.68 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Assets under management - ETFs' is estimated at $4,295.42 billion, up from $3,855.77 billion year-over-year [9]. Net Inflows - 'Net inflows - Product Type - Cash management' is projected to be $66.79 billion, compared to $30.20 billion year-over-year [8]. - 'Net inflows' are expected to reach $124.01 billion, up from $81.57 billion in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Net inflows - Client Type - ETFs' is estimated at $57.88 billion, down from $83.14 billion in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - BlackRock shares have increased by 9.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 4.4% increase [11].
'Sweepstakes gaming' faces bans in states: Here's what you need to know
CNBC Television· 2025-07-10 12:30
In a world with no sure bets, uh it seems safe to say that the interest in gambling will keep growing. Uh Contessa, the sweep stakes is back. What.Well, you know, look, we are watching the growth in the gambling landcape just morph and change around the United States. It's a it's happening at a dramatic pace with ways to wager that go way beyond a sports book or a slot machine. For instance, you have Joe these sweep stakes gaming where players use virtual coins, but they can also buy in with real money to p ...
Prediction markets have become a barometer for investors, says WSJ's Gunjan Banerji
CNBC Television· 2025-07-10 11:54
Wall Street Journal's Gunjan Banerjee is also a CNBC contributor and joins me now. I'm looking right now on Koshi's homepage, Gungeon, and the trending topics because predictions are more than just about sports, which is not a settled issue, but how high will Bitcoin get this month. 33% say 120 or above.We're getting closer. The New York City mayoral race. In what way do you think predictions and the rise of the predictions markets might give investors another data point to consider.Thanks Contessa. You kno ...
现在150万的房子,5年后能值多少?咱心里有个数
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 08:22
再次,让我们聚焦房产本身的具体情况。同样是150万的房子,其未来价值也会因地段、房龄、小区环境等因素而差异巨大。 靠近地铁、学校、 医院等优质公共资源的地段,房龄较新(例如十年以内)、小区环境优美、配套设施完善的房产,其抗跌性更强,甚至可能在五年后小幅升值。 相反,那些位于偏远地段、房龄较老(例如没有电梯的老小区)、小区环境差、周边配套设施落后的房产,五年后的价值可能仅剩100万左右,甚 至更低。 最后,回到最初的问题:五年后,你那套150万的房子值多少钱? 答案依然是:没有确切的数字。 "普涨时代"已经过去,房地产市场的分化将日 益明显。优质房产,尤其位于人口流入较多城市、地段优越、配套完善的房产,将保持相对稳定,甚至可能小幅升值;而那些地段偏远、品质较 差的房产,其价值则可能持续下跌。 因此,对于自住型购房者而言,房屋的涨跌幅度无需过度关注,舒适的居住体验才是最重要的;而对于投资 型购房者,特别是持有位于小城市的多套房产的投资者,则需谨慎对待,避免盲目持有,应根据市场行情及时调整投资策略。 总而言之,买房需 谨慎,切勿盲目投机,理性选择,才能稳妥。 " 首先,让我们从宏观经济环境入手。当前中国经济增速放缓 ...