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巴西化工业开工率持续下滑
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-07-07 02:56
Group 1 - The Brazilian chemical industry is experiencing its worst performance in over 30 years, with an operating rate of 62% in Q1 2025, down from 65% in Q1 2024, and a year-on-year production decline of 3.8% [1] - Despite increased import tariffs on various chemical products in October 2024, the industry continues to struggle, with high import levels persisting [1] - The import penetration rate for chemical products decreased from 53% in 2024 to 43% in Q1 2025, indicating some positive effects of trade protectionism [1][2] Group 2 - The chemical trade deficit reached $49.82 billion in the 12 months ending March 2025, surpassing the previous peak of $48.68 billion [2] - The CEO of Abiquim highlighted that Brazilian chemical producers are heavily reliant on imports, making them price takers in the global market, and facing high costs from energy and taxes [2] - The proposed Presiq stimulus plan aims to address structural issues in the industry, potentially increasing operating rates to 95% and generating significant GDP growth and job creation [2] Group 3 - The production costs in Brazil are significantly higher than in North America or the Middle East, which hampers competitiveness [3] - Braskem, the largest petrochemical producer in Latin America, is planning to gradually shift to ethane feedstock, but this requires substantial investment and stable natural gas supply [3]