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There could have been six FOMC dissents, says JPMorgan's Kelly on rate cut
Youtube· 2025-12-10 19:48
Job Market Analysis - The unemployment rate has edged up through September but remains low compared to historical standards, indicating a slight weakening in the job market [2][3] - The labor market's normalization appears to be focused on younger individuals, suggesting that the overall deterioration may not be as severe as feared [4] Federal Reserve Insights - Inflation has been above target for 55 months, leading to speculation about potential rate cuts, with the Fed's forecast indicating a more dovish stance [5][11] - The Fed has raised the bar for the next rate cut, indicating a cautious approach while still being prepared to support growth if the labor market worsens [12][14] - There is an expectation of increased liquidity in the market, which may help maintain bullish sentiment despite the higher hurdle for rate cuts [14] Market Reactions - The tech ETF is experiencing a significant winning streak, potentially reaching its longest in eight years, reflecting positive market sentiment [9] - Precious metals like silver and gold are also on the rise, indicating a broader positive trend in the market [10]