[Music] Hi. Okay. Raise your hand if anyone has ever said, "Oh, I was just really lucky." Or, "I just happened to stumble in the right place at the right time." Yeah.Right. We've all heard that, right. Well, today I hope I don't stumble in my heels, but we've all heard that time and again.And 68% of people uh surveyed mentioned that they believe in luck. But luck is just such an abstract concept. And I I was always very fascinated with luck because I saw that people that were lucky just kept getting lucky a ...

Interesting factYou’re way more likely to get hit by lightning inside your own house with open windows than to win the lottery jackpots. ...

Forecast contracts can be a low-cost way to express well-researched probability views, but without disciplined sizing, diversification, and a demonstrable edge, they can devolve into little more than a high-stakes gamble. https://t.co/lRuItJwryL ...

Let's take a code example!At low temperature, probabilities concentrate around the most likely token, resulting in nearly greedy generation.At high temperature, probabilities become more uniform, producing highly random and stochastic outputs.Check this out👇 https://t.co/ZPvXEbqhwT ...

[Music] [Applause] [Music] On the last day of third grade, my babysitter introduced my little brother and me to Monopoly. It was the kind of Florida summer afternoon where playing outside felt like playing in an oven. So, she figured a board game would keep us entertained.The premise seemed clear. Buy properties, collect rent, bankrupt opponents. But whenever I trusted my instincts, I lost.Now, I realized Monopoly isn't just a game of luck or instinct. It's a master class on why data beats impulse on the bo ...