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Nasdaq Reaches Another ATH. Nvidia Tops $5T. But Navan’s IPO and JAMF’s $2B Exit Show B2B Still Isn’t Easy.
SaaStr· 2025-11-02 15:50
Core Insights - The Nasdaq has reached an all-time high, and Nvidia's market cap has surpassed $5 trillion, indicating a strong market for AI companies, but challenges remain for B2B SaaS companies [1][51] - Recent IPOs and acquisitions in the B2B sector, such as Navan and JAMF, highlight the changing landscape and valuation pressures faced by these companies [4][5] Group 1: Navan's IPO - Navan, a corporate travel and expense management platform, IPO'd at $25 per share but closed down 20% on the first day, resulting in a valuation of approximately $4.7 billion [6][12] - The company reported $613 million in trailing twelve-month revenue, reflecting a 32% year-over-year growth, but the valuation multiple of 7.7x is significantly lower than the 15-20x multiples seen in 2021 [7][12] - Navan's substantial funding of over $1.4 billion at a peak private valuation of $9.2 billion in 2022 has led to significant losses for late-stage investors, with a 50%+ haircut on day one of public trading [7][12][21] Group 2: JAMF's Acquisition - JAMF, specializing in Apple device management, was acquired by Francisco Partners for $2.2 billion, translating to a 3.1x ARR multiple, which is notably lower than its previous valuations [9][18] - Despite tripling its ARR from $225 million to $710 million over five years, JAMF's growth rate decelerated from 35-40% to 10-15%, leading to a significant reduction in its market valuation [14][27] - The company's Rule of 40 metric has declined from 36% at IPO to negative 1%, indicating challenges in maintaining growth and profitability [15][36] Group 3: Market Trends and Valuation Pressures - The public markets are signaling a shift in valuation expectations, with median public SaaS companies trading at 5-7x ARR, while private B2B companies average 4.8x for bootstrapped and 5.3x for venture-backed firms [24][52] - Companies that raised capital at high multiples (15x+) during 2020-2022 are facing significant challenges, with many likely to experience down-rounds or restructuring [41][52] - The emphasis on growth rates over absolute revenue scale is critical, as companies must maintain 25-40% growth to command premium multiples, while those below 20% face lower valuations [36][52] Group 4: Path to Profitability - The expectation for a clear path to profitability has become essential for B2B companies, with investors no longer willing to accept the "we'll figure it out later" approach [37][52] - Both Navan and JAMF have struggled with operating leverage, failing to improve profitability as they scaled, which has led to harsh market re-ratings [29][31] - The market is increasingly valuing companies based on their ability to demonstrate real growth and profitability, moving away from the previous focus on growth at any cost [55][56]