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France Rating Downgrade Is Already Priced: 3-Minute MLIV
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-15 08:08
France's Economic Outlook - Fitch's downgrade of France was anticipated due to a deficit exceeding 5% [1] - France's debt to GDP and deficit are nearly double the EU's mandated 3% levels [2] - The market reaction to the downgrade is muted, suggesting the bad news is largely priced in [3] - Fitch's stable outlook on France's A-plus debt indicates no expected change in the next year, offering reassurance to investors [4] - French bonds are expected to trade with a milder risk premium rather than rally [4] Federal Reserve (The Fed) - The market anticipates a 25 basis points rate cut by the Fed [5] - The Fed's dot plot indicating three rate cuts by the end of 2026 contrasts with market expectations of six rate cuts [5] - Markets are pricing in 35% inflation in the next year, posing a challenge for the Fed's rate-cutting policy [6] Bank of Japan (BOJ) - The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates, influenced by the potential for a fiscally dovish prime minister [8] - If the BOJ delays raising rates, market volatility is anticipated, potentially impacting global bond markets [9]
Moody's: Time To Reassess Lagging Ratings Agencies (Rating Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-27 03:42
Group 1 - The company aims to invest in firms with ideal qualitative attributes, purchasing them at attractive prices based on fundamentals and holding them indefinitely [1] - The investment strategy involves managing a concentrated portfolio to avoid underperformers while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners [1] - The company plans to publish articles on such investments approximately three times a week, including extensive quarterly follow-ups and constant updates [1] Group 2 - The company often rates high-quality firms as 'Hold' due to insufficient growth opportunities or excessive downside risks [1]