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Jim Cramer Says” Buy, Buy, Buy” This Recession-Resistant Dividend Aristocrat Stock
247Wallst· 2025-12-11 13:26
Core Viewpoint - Jim Cramer expresses a bullish outlook on McDonald's (MCD) stock, emphasizing its recession-resistant qualities and the positive impact of its mobile app and falling commodity costs on sales and profit margins [4][5][6]. Group 1: McDonald's Stock Analysis - Cramer highlights the effectiveness of McDonald's mobile app in driving customer traffic and sales through daily deals [4]. - Falling commodity costs, particularly in cattle prices, are expected to enhance McDonald's profit margins, as Cramer believes prices have peaked [5]. - McDonald's has historically performed well during recessions, gaining 8.59% in 2008 and emerging stronger from the 2020 recession, while many competitors struggled [6][9]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Market Trends - The "trade-down" thesis suggests that consumers shift from casual dining to fast food during economic downturns, benefiting McDonald's due to its value offerings [7]. - Recent data indicates that higher-income customers are increasingly dining at McDonald's due to persistent inflation, while lower-income consumers are being priced out of dining out altogether [8]. - McDonald's has introduced value initiatives like the $5 Meal Deal and the "McValue" platform to cater to changing consumer needs amid inflation [8]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - MCD stock trades at over 25 times forward earnings and has seen a modest increase of 3.3% over the past year, with a forward yield of 2.39% [11]. - While MCD may underperform in the near term if the market rallies, it is viewed as a long-term hold with potential for dividend reinvestment and stability [12].