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汇丰:生命科学与医疗保健_季度收益_不确定性在哪里
汇丰· 2025-07-01 00:40
Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for Bayer and Novo Nordisk, a "Reduce" rating for Eli Lilly, and a "Hold" rating for Gilead Sciences [5][15][19][24]. Core Insights - Investors are currently focused on regulatory uncertainties and their impact on growth and profitability in the pharmaceutical sector, while companies are optimistic about new product launches and growth drivers [2][4]. - The regulatory landscape remains unclear, with numerous items under debate, which could lead to varied outcomes for companies depending on their ability to adapt [3]. - Companies are planning a significant number of product launches, but the associated costs and the ability to generate these drugs remain in question until regulatory visibility improves [4][8]. Company Messaging into Results Bayer - Bayer trades at a 12-month forward PE multiple of 6x, with a target price of EUR32.00, implying an upside of 14.3% [10]. - The company expects Q2 2025 revenue to be impacted by patent erosion but anticipates recovery in Crop Science and continued momentum in Pharma [11]. Eli Lilly - Eli Lilly trades at a 12-month forward PE multiple of 33x, with a target price of USD675, indicating a downside of -12.4% [15]. - The company is expected to see strong growth in its Diabetes & Obesity Care segment, with a projected revenue of USD10.366 billion for Q2 2025 [16]. Gilead Sciences - Gilead trades at a target price of USD93.00, with a downside of -12.4% [19]. - The company is expected to see gradual revenue growth driven by the uptake of Yeztugo and Trodelvy, with total revenue projected at USD7.295 billion for Q2 2025 [20]. Johnson & Johnson - Johnson & Johnson trades at a forward PE multiple of 14x, with a target price of USD184.00, suggesting an upside of 21.6% [22]. - The company anticipates stable revenue growth in its Pharmaceutical division, with total revenue expected to reach USD22.980 billion in Q2 2025 [23]. Novo Nordisk - Novo Nordisk trades at a forward PE multiple of 18x, with a target price of DKK680, indicating an upside of 50.9% [24]. - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, particularly in its diabetes and obesity treatment segments, with a five-year forecast revenue CAGR of 12.1% [24].