Group 1 - Bernstein SocGen Group reiterated its Outperform rating and $135 price target on Gilead Sciences, citing limited financial exposure to recent Medicaid pricing developments [1] - Only certain products, representing about 60% of Gilead's portfolio, were aligning with MFN pricing for Medicaid, specifically Genvoya and Odefsey, which together generated approximately $750 million in Medicaid gross spend in 2023 [2] - Concerns around Medicaid pricing risk for Biktarvy were alleviated, with negotiations resulting in a favorable outcome, and the estimated 2026 revenue impact for Genvoya and Odefsey combined is expected to be minimal, less than $200 million, and in the low single-digit percentage range for the overall company [3]

医药生物 2025 年 06月 09 日 从供需看,中国创新药能从海外分成多少钱? 投资要点: 行情回顾:本周(2025年6月3日-2025年6月6日)中信医药指数 A 上涨 1.2%,跑赢沪深 300指数 0.3 pct,在中信一级行业分类中排名第 16 位;2025年初至今中信医药生物板块指数上涨 8.3%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 9.9pct,在中信行业分类中排名第5位。本周涨幅前五的个股为:易明医药 (+33.09%)、万邦德(+32.59%)、昂利康(+30.28%)、新诺威(+21.36%)、 海辰药业(+20.93%)。 周专题:跨国药企专利悬崖释放超 2400 亿美元市场空间,中国凭借技 A 术平台与研发效率优势成为全球创新药供给的核心力量。截至 2037年,全 球市场 27款 2024年销售额超 40亿美元的重磅药物面临专利失效,MNC 均有迫切寻找重磅创新药的需求。我们认为目前已经进入下一个创新药周 期的投入阶段,中国创新药在细胞疗法、ADC、双抗等技术领域在研管线 数量全球第一,在 716个赛道研发进度第一,有望依托 License-out 模式实 现技术价值全球化兑现,加速填补 MNC ...

Key Takeaways GILD will exclusively license and advance ASMB's HSV candidates ABI-1179 & ABI-5366 for genital herpes.Interim data on ABI-1179 & ABI-5366 showed strong antiviral activity and reduced virus-positive lesions.ASMB will receive $35M upfront and may earn up to $330M in milestones plus tiered royalties on sales.Gilead Sciences (GILD) recently announced that it has exercised its combined option to exclusively license Assembly Biosciences’ (ASMB) herpes simplex virus (HSV) helicase-primase inhibitor ...

Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) maintains a leading position in the HIV market, primarily driven by its flagship therapies Biktarvy and Descovy, which have significantly contributed to the company's revenue growth in recent quarters [1][9] Gilead's HIV Portfolio - The FDA approved lenacapavir, branded as Yeztugo, as the first and only twice-yearly injectable HIV-1 capsid inhibitor for prevention, enhancing GILD's HIV portfolio amid generic competition for Truvada [2][9] - Yeztugo's competitive edge lies in its biannual dosing, appealing to a broader population compared to daily oral medications [3] - Gilead's investigational single-tablet regimen combining bictegravir and lenacapavir has met primary endpoints in phase III studies, indicating potential for regulatory submission [4][5] Competitive Landscape - The HIV treatment market includes major competitors like GSK and Merck, with GSK's HIV portfolio benefiting from strong demand for long-acting injectables and Dovato, while Merck markets doravirine in various formulations [7][8][10] Financial Performance - Gilead's stock has increased by 31.2% over the past year, outperforming the industry average growth of 15% [11] - The company's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 14.32x forward earnings, which is above its historical mean of 10.93x but below the large-cap pharma industry's average of 17.11x [12] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have risen to $8.17 from $8.07, while the estimate for 2026 has slightly decreased to $8.50 from $8.51 [13]

Key Takeaways GILD's ARTISTRY-2 showed once-daily BIC/LEN was non-inferior to Biktarvy at week 48.GILD randomized virologically suppressed patients 2:1 to switch to BIC/LEN or stay on Biktarvy.GILD plans regulatory filings combining phase III results from ARTISTRY-1 and ARTISTRY-2.Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) announced that the investigational single-tablet regimen of bictegravir and lenacapavir for the treatment of HIV met the primary endpoint in the late-stage ARTISTRY-2 study.ARTISTRY-2 is a multicenter, ...

Summary of Gilead Sciences FY Conference Call (December 03, 2025) Company Overview - **Company**: Gilead Sciences (NasdaqGS:GILD) - **Focus Areas**: Virology, Oncology, Inflammation Key Points R&D and Product Development - **Transition and Performance**: The transition to Gilead has been positive, with successful data and multiple product launches throughout the year [1][2] - **Nodule Data**: Clinical studies (Purpose 1 and Purpose 2) show 96% of participants want to continue therapy, indicating no significant clinical issues with nodules formed during treatment [2][3] - **Intramuscular Injection**: The move to intramuscular injections allows for longer duration therapies, including a once-a-year option for HIV prevention [3][4] - **Patient Compliance**: The injectable format improves compliance compared to daily oral medications, as patients receive protection for six months with a single shot [7][9] - **GS-3242 Development**: GS-3242 is prioritized as a longer-acting integrase inhibitor, with potential for future treatment intervals [12][15] - **Clinical Holds**: A combination therapy involving a long-acting capsid was placed on clinical hold due to safety concerns related to CD4 positive T cell counts [16][18] Market Positioning and Strategy - **Biktarvy**: Remains the standard of care for newly diagnosed patients, with no current plans to replace it with GS-3242 [12][31] - **BIC-Len**: Positioned for switch settings, targeting patients who want to transition from complex regimens to simpler two-drug therapies [34] - **Long-acting Options**: Gilead is exploring longer duration therapies, including a once-every-six-month injectable regimen [33] Pipeline Developments - **Oral GLP-1**: Currently in phase one, not a core strategy but could be developed further depending on trial results [35][36] - **Oral Alpha-4 Beta-7**: Part of Gilead's inflammation strategy, with ongoing phase two trials in inflammatory bowel disease [39][40] - **Cell Therapy**: Gilead is advancing its CAR-T therapies, including a next-generation CD19/CD20 CAR-T aimed at improving efficacy and safety [47][48] Future Directions - **In Vivo CAR-T**: Gilead is investing in in vivo CAR-T technologies, which stimulate the body to produce its own CAR-T cells, although this is still in early stages [61][64] - **Clinical Trials**: Upcoming data from the Imagine-1 study on myeloma therapy will provide insights into efficacy and safety [51][52] Safety and Efficacy - **Resistance Formation**: Current data shows low resistance formation with BIC-Len and GS-3242, with ongoing monitoring as patient populations expand [24][26] - **ICANS and Neurotoxicity**: Limited incidence of ICANS reported, with ongoing assessments of safety profiles across trials [55][56] Additional Insights - **Market Dynamics**: Gilead is aware of competitive pressures and is focused on providing diverse treatment options to meet patient needs [34][33] - **Partnership Opportunities**: Potential for partnerships in non-core areas like oral GLP-1 and oral alpha-4 beta-7, depending on trial outcomes [38][44] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and strategic directions highlighted during the Gilead Sciences FY conference call, focusing on R&D advancements, market positioning, and future growth opportunities.

Core Insights - Gilead Sciences has had a strong performance in 2025, leading to an increase in guidance for the year [2] - The company boasts a durable portfolio, with flagship HIV therapies Biktarvy and Descovy driving significant growth, alongside promising new launches [3] - Gilead has the strongest pipeline in its history, indicating a steady flow of clinical data that could enhance product offerings [4] Financial Performance - The third quarter results reflect a terrific start to 2025, showcasing overall business momentum [2] Product Portfolio - The base business is significantly supported by Biktarvy and Descovy, with new products like Yeztugo and Livdelzi showing strong initial performance [3] - Yeztugo is highlighted as a transformational HIV prevention medicine with a unique six-month injection schedule [3] Pipeline Development - Gilead's pipeline is described as the deepest and broadest in the company's history, suggesting ongoing clinical developments that may lead to new product introductions [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company guided for approximately $150 million in sales for the first half of the year, with less than $100 million expected for the fourth quarter, indicating a strong start to the launch [2] - The operating margin improved to roughly 50% in the third quarter, reflecting a disciplined cost focus and operational efficiency [36][39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HIV prevention business collectively grew 42% year over year, with Descovy growing 32% year over year in HIV prevention [6] - Sunlenca's launch is expected to drive steady, consistent, durable growth similar to Biktarvy, which had $3.5 billion in sales in the third quarter [3] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The CDC estimates that at least 2.2 million people in the U.S. would benefit from HIV prevention, indicating a significant market opportunity [8] - Currently, about 500,000 people are on HIV prevention therapy, suggesting substantial room for market expansion [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on changing prescriber habits and building awareness for the new injectable options versus oral medications [2][5] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding the HIV prevention market, with plans for specific advertising campaigns to raise awareness [5][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the HIV prevention market, noting that the market is just beginning to develop [7][9] - The company highlighted the importance of building awareness and transitioning patients from existing therapies to new options [12][13] Other Important Information - The patent settlement for Biktarvy extends exclusivity until at least 2036, providing long-term stability for the company [15] - The company has a deep pipeline of next-generation HIV treatment alternatives, with multiple programs in clinical development [16][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the strategy for educating patients and physicians on the benefits of the injectable option? - Management acknowledged that changing habits takes time and emphasized the importance of building a sales force and healthcare educators to raise awareness [5] Question: Where is the demand for Sunlenca coming from in the early days of the launch? - The company noted that there has been a surprising number of naive patients starting on Sunlenca, as well as patients switching from generic Truvada and other long-acting options [10][11] Question: What are the plans for Anito-cel in terms of clinical development? - Management confirmed that there are plans to move Anito-cel into earlier lines of treatment, with significant market opportunities identified [25][26] Question: Can you provide an update on Trodelvy's regulatory submissions and growth potential? - The company expects to receive an updated label for Trodelvy next year, which should drive significant growth [28] Question: How is the company approaching business development, particularly in China? - Management highlighted a shift towards innovative assets in China and noted that a significant portion of their corporate development interest is now sourced from that region [33][34]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company guided for approximately $150 million in sales for the first half of the year, with less than $100 million expected for the fourth quarter, indicating a strong start to the launch [2] - The operating margin improved to roughly 50% in the third quarter, reflecting a disciplined cost focus and operational efficiency [36][39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HIV prevention business collectively grew 42% year over year, with Descovy growing 32% year over year in HIV prevention [6] - Sunlenca's launch is expected to drive steady, consistent, durable growth similar to Biktarvy, which had $3.5 billion in sales in the third quarter [3] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The CDC estimates that at least 2.2 million people in the U.S. would benefit from HIV prevention, indicating a significant market opportunity [8] - Currently, about 500,000 people are on HIV prevention therapy, suggesting substantial room for growth in the market [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on changing prescriber habits and building awareness for the new injectable options versus oral medications [2][5] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding the HIV prevention market, with plans for specific advertising campaigns to raise awareness [5][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the HIV prevention market, noting that the market is just beginning to develop [7][9] - The company highlighted the importance of building awareness and transitioning patients from existing therapies to new options [12][13] Other Important Information - The patent settlement for Biktarvy extends exclusivity until at least 2036, providing long-term stability for the company [15] - The company has a deep pipeline of next-generation HIV treatment alternatives, with multiple programs in clinical development [16][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the strategy for educating patients and physicians on the benefits of the injectable option? - Management acknowledged that changing habits takes time and emphasized the importance of building a sales force and healthcare educators to raise awareness [5] Question: Where is the demand for Sunlenca coming from in the early days of the launch? - The company noted that there has been a surprising number of naive patients starting on Sunlenca, as well as patients switching from generic Truvada and other long-acting options [10][11] Question: What are the plans for Anito-cel and its market potential? - Management indicated that Anito-cel is expected to launch in the fourth-line plus market by the end of next year, with significant growth opportunities in multiple myeloma [24][25] Question: Can you provide an update on Trodelvy's regulatory submissions and growth potential? - The company expects updated label expansion filings for Trodelvy in the U.S. next year, which should drive significant growth [28] Question: How is the company approaching business development, particularly in China? - Management highlighted a shift towards more innovative assets in China and noted that a significant portion of their corporate development interest is now sourced from that region [33][34]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company guided for approximately $150 million in sales for the first half of FY 2025, with less than $100 million expected in Q4 [2] - The operating margin improved to roughly 50% in Q3, up from just below 40% previously, indicating strong operational leverage [34][36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HIV prevention business collectively grew 42% year over year, driven by the launch of Sunlenca and the growth of Descovy, which saw a 32% increase in the same period [6][10] - Biktarvy, a key HIV treatment, generated $3.5 billion in sales in Q3, showcasing its strong market position [3][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HIV prevention market is estimated to have around 500,000 patients currently on therapy, with the CDC estimating that at least 2.2 million people in the U.S. could benefit from HIV prevention [7][11] - The company noted that the market opportunity for HIV prevention could be much larger, with 10-12 million people diagnosed with sexually transmitted diseases annually in the U.S. [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building awareness and changing prescriber habits to promote the shift from daily oral medications to long-acting injectables [2][5] - A patent settlement extended the exclusivity of Biktarvy until at least 2036, allowing the company to plan long-term without immediate competitive pressures [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the steady growth of the HIV prevention market and the potential for Sunlenca to capture a significant share [3][10] - The company is confident in its pipeline, with multiple launches expected in the coming years, which will support diversification and growth [29][36] Other Important Information - The company is actively pursuing business development opportunities, particularly in China, where it has seen a shift towards more innovative assets [31][32] - The company plans to continue investing in R&D while maintaining a disciplined approach to operational expenses [34][36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the early demand for Sunlenca? - Management noted that early demand is coming from naive patients and those switching from generic Truvada, with a significant portion also switching from other long-acting injectables [9][10] Question: What is the strategy for educating patients and physicians about Sunlenca? - The company is building a sales force and healthcare educators to work directly with physicians and is planning advertising campaigns to raise awareness [5][11] Question: How does the patent settlement for Biktarvy influence long-term planning? - The extended exclusivity until 2036 allows for strategic planning without immediate concerns about competition, supporting the development of next-generation treatments [14][15] Question: What are the growth opportunities for Anito-cel in multiple myeloma? - The company plans to move Anito-cel into earlier lines of treatment, targeting a sizable market opportunity in both second-line and first-line therapies [24][25] Question: What is the outlook for Trodelvy in triple-negative breast cancer? - Trodelvy is expected to continue growing, especially with label expansion anticipated next year, contributing to sustained growth over time [27]