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If Your Stock Has Doubled or Tripled, Should You Take Profits?
The Smart Investor· 2026-02-04 03:30
Core Insights - The article discusses the psychological factors influencing investors' decisions to sell stocks that have significantly increased in value, emphasizing that emotions often drive these decisions rather than logical analysis [3][4][16]. Group 1: Reasons for Selling - Loss aversion is a primary driver for selling, as investors focus on protecting gains rather than maximizing long-term returns [3]. - Situations where taking profits is justified include when stock valuations become stretched and when portfolio concentration becomes an issue [5][6]. - Changes in fundamentals, such as slowed growth or shifts in the industry, can also warrant profit-taking [7]. Group 2: Reasons for Holding - Staying invested is crucial as compounding benefits long-term returns, with a few stocks typically accounting for most gains [8]. - Selling can result in losing future income from dividends, which can accumulate significantly over time [9]. - Investors may face reinvestment risk, as finding new investments of comparable quality can be challenging [9][10]. Group 3: Decision-Making Framework - Before selling, investors should ask critical questions regarding the stock's current valuation, earnings growth, balance sheet strength, and competitive position [14]. - Partial selling can be a strategy to lock in some gains while maintaining exposure to potential future growth [13]. - Decisions should be based on fundamentals rather than emotions, ensuring that the portfolio aligns with long-term investment goals [16][17].
iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (SHV US) - Investment Proposition
ETF Strategy· 2026-01-18 21:34
Core Viewpoint - iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (SHV) is designed to provide ultra-short U.S. Treasury exposure, focusing on principal stability and high liquidity rather than maximizing returns [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The portfolio is limited to near-maturity bills and notes to reduce interest-rate sensitivity and maintain a cash-like profile [1] - Income from the fund reflects current front-end policy rates and adjusts quickly as securities mature, which supports responsiveness during tightening and easing cycles [1] - The fund serves as an effective cash management tool or a tactical redeployment option, suitable for institutions managing operating cash and multi-asset allocators [1] Group 2: Risk and Volatility - The fund typically exhibits low volatility compared to risk assets due to negligible credit risk and modest duration [1] - A key risk to monitor is reinvestment timing, as rapid policy shifts may compress income faster than anticipated [1] Group 3: Market Conditions - Front-end rate hikes generally support the fund's role, while broad risk-on surges in equities or tighter credit spreads can increase the opportunity cost of holding it [1]