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2025年,租金大撤退!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 19:02
Core Insights - The real estate market is experiencing a significant downturn, with both property prices and rental rates declining simultaneously [1][3][5] - The average rental price in 50 key cities dropped to 35 yuan per square meter per month in June, reflecting a 0.27% month-on-month decrease and a 3.71% year-on-year decline [3][5] - The rental market is facing increased supply, with a notable rise in long-term rental apartments and affordable housing options, leading to further pressure on rental prices [8][10][11] Rental Market Dynamics - The rental market has been in a prolonged slump since 2025, with a cumulative rental decline of 1.37% in the first half of the year [5] - The employment situation for graduates is challenging, leading to a preference for lower-priced rental options and shared accommodations [6][7] - The supply of rental properties is increasing, with 288 new projects and approximately 117,300 new units entering the market in the first half of 2025, marking a 2.97% year-on-year growth [8][9] Impact of Affordable Housing - The supply of affordable rental housing has surged, with 104,523 units available, representing a 14.11% increase year-on-year [9] - Affordable housing options are priced significantly lower than surrounding market rates, creating competitive pressure on traditional rental markets [10] Buyer Considerations - Homeowners should be cautious, as holding onto properties with low appreciation potential may lead to losses in both property value and rental income [12][13] - In cities like Guangzhou, the proportion of second-hand homes sold for under 2 million yuan has increased by 13 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a shift towards lower-priced properties [14] - Rental yield considerations are crucial, with recommended rates of 2.5%-3% for first-tier cities, 3%-4% for second-tier cities, and at least 4% for third and fourth-tier cities [17][18] Strategic Decision-Making - The real estate market is complex, and the decline in rental prices is just one aspect of a larger picture [19] - Both homeowners and buyers need to make informed decisions based on market changes to secure advantageous positions [20]