Hey everyone, I'm Sam Cororus. I direct our autonomous tech and robotics research at ARC. Uh we're doing a recap here, a midyear review of our big ideas that we posted.When was that. Back in back in January, I guess. Um we're going to dive into the reusable rocket section here and and see what's happened so far this year.What is the key takeaway here. This is a industry that is defined by a dramatic cost decline. that's changing the business model leading to a enormous opportunity.And so we'll walk through ...

For everyone who claims the United States can not manufacture anything, remember that America has produced the only two companies in human history that can launch reusable rockets.Incredible. ...

Keith, we're getting to about a minute before launch. This looks good to you, or we shall see. Yeah, like I said, first attempt.I got that launch feeling. There's something about, you know, it's completely mystical. No math, no rocket science.I just got the impression that your astrology comes in. Yeah. There you go.All right. I do not. I've got another career.I was right after all. Yeah. Yeah.Hey, listen, we just are now 22 seconds until we see the launch here of Blue Origin. It's been a rough week trying ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record revenue of $155 million for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 48% and a sequential increase of 7.3% [5][30] - GAAP gross margin for Q3 was 37%, at the high end of prior guidance, while non-GAAP gross margin was 41.9%, exceeding previous expectations [31][39] - The company ended Q3 with a total backlog of approximately $1.1 billion, with launch backlog accounting for 47% and space systems for 53% [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Space Systems segment generated $114.2 million in revenue, a sequential increase of 16.7%, driven by strong performance in satellite manufacturing [30] - The Launch Services segment reported $40.9 million in revenue, a decline of 12.3% quarter-over-quarter due to fewer launches caused by customer spacecraft delivery delays [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company secured 17 dedicated Electron launches in just three months, indicating strong demand, particularly from international customers [9][30] - The company is seeing increased interest from space agencies, which are beginning to standardize on the Electron as a launch platform [45] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain its position as a leading end-to-end space company, focusing on scaling products and services across launch and space systems [8][12] - The company is actively pursuing M&A opportunities, with over $1 billion in liquidity available for strategic acquisitions [12][38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet demand for Electron, citing that over 90% of production is in-house [46] - The company anticipates a strong return to sequential revenue growth in the Launch Services segment in Q4, supported by a busy launch manifest [31][40] Other Important Information - The company is on track to launch its Neutron rocket in Q1 2026, with a focus on thorough testing and qualification processes [18][29] - The company has made significant investments in Neutron development, with capital expenditures expected to remain elevated [36][38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you share insights on the recent strong bookings and backlog for launches? - Management noted that the increase in backlog includes both strong commercial bookings and interest from space agencies standardizing on Electron as a launch platform [45] Question: How is the supply chain positioned to meet demand for Electron? - Management indicated that the supply chain is robust, with the factory designed to produce 52 rockets annually [46] Question: Can you clarify the one-time events affecting launch gross margins? - Management explained that the gross margin improvement was influenced by a mix of contract terms and the transition to over-time revenue recognition for certain missions [47][49] Question: What is the revenue recognition timeline for the SDA Tranche 2 award? - Management confirmed that revenue recognition is on track, with a pattern of 10% in the first year, followed by 40% in subsequent years [52][54] Question: What is the expected launch cadence for Neutron after its first flight? - Management stated that the launch cadence will depend on the success of the first flight, with a potential for three launches in the first year following the test launch [56][58] Question: How soon can Neutron launch after arriving at the complex? - Management indicated that the timeline depends on the outcomes of operational tests and any issues that may arise during the process [70][71] Question: Can you quantify the cumulative catch-up adjustment for the quarter? - Management clarified that a contract closeout contributed approximately $5 million to the quarter's results, alongside other adjustments related to revenue recognition [72][73]

Space Exploration & Technology - Elon Musk is teaching his son, Little X, about "Rapidly Reusable Rockets" [1] - The focus is on reusable rocket technology [1]

Rocket Technology - SpaceX is developing fully and rapidly reusable rockets [1] - The industry considers fully reusable rockets as a significant advancement [1]

“Starship is 2.5 times the thrust of a Saturn V. Saturn V was the largest rocket ever to reach orbit. This is 2.5 times more power than that, and we build one a month. And they're meant to be reusable.”Elon Musk https://t.co/PzIHF8b8ut ...

Starship to be caught this year & a bunch of improvements to make it fully and rapidly reusable.Elon Musk https://t.co/oyMy82olCe ...

“Starship is 2.5 times the thrust of a Saturn V. Saturn V was the largest rocket ever to reach orbit. This is 2.5 times more power than that, and we build one a month. And they're meant to be reusable”https://t.co/PzIHF8aAEV ...

Real Estate & Space Industry Trends - Data centers are a rapidly growing sector in real estate, driven by AI, cloud computing, and online activities, but their high energy consumption poses a challenge [1] - Private capital is flowing into the space industry, with new companies emerging to serve various aspects of the sector from both public and private perspectives [3] - The space industry is experiencing a revolution, with companies seeking to monetize space through manufacturing and serving as a base for further space exploration, including potential data center production on the moon [6] - Space offers unlimited power from the sun, unlimited cooling from the vacuum, and unlimited real estate, potentially unlocking constraints faced on Earth and providing clean energy [9] - The current economic environment presents challenges for global development, with stagflation, higher rates, and slower growth making it difficult for developers to make projects financially viable [19][20] Technological Advancements & Infrastructure - Reusable rocket technology is advancing, with potential for 1,000 tons of launch capability, moving towards a million tons per year [32] - Robotics are becoming increasingly advanced and advantageous in the lunar environment due to the challenges of sustaining human life in space [31] - Ethos is developing technology to utilize lunar geological resources, such as anorthosite, to create building materials like synthetic igneous rock, which is twice as strong as concrete, for constructing landing pads, roads, and foundations on the moon [26][27][28][29] Energy & Power Consumption - Data centers are projected to consume a significant portion of US power generation, potentially reaching 40% by 2030, highlighting a serious infrastructure problem [42] - China has a significantly larger installed power base than the US and is investing heavily in solar energy, necessitating the exploration of new, non-Earth-bound power generation methods [44] - The cost of solar energy is declining rapidly, and nuclear energy is gaining traction, suggesting that energy problems will be solved, but the demand for power is infinite [47] Investment & Future Outlook - Capital is seeking great opportunities and returns, with space emerging as a promising area for investment [21] - Infrastructure investments require a long-term perspective, considering future disruptors and their potential interplay with the current world [14] - The space industry is in its early stages, similar to the railroad era, representing a major investment opportunity and creating new "rails" for the future [17]