Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (NasdaqGS:CCEP) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 17, 2026 07:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsDamian Gammell - CEOEd Walker - CFOSarah Willett - VP of Investor Relations and Corporate StrategyConference Call ParticipantsAndrea Pistacchi - AnalystBonnie Herzog - AnalystCharlie Higgs - AnalystEdward Mundy - AnalystEric Serotta - AnalystLauren Lieberman - AnalystMatthew Ford - AnalystNadine Sarwat - AnalystRichard Withagen - AnalystRobert Ottenstein - AnalystSanjeet Aujla - AnalystUsam ...

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (NasdaqGS:CCEP) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 17, 2026 07:00 AM ET Speaker10Hello, and thank you for standing by, and welcome to today's Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Q4 and full year 2025 trading update conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one and one on your telephone. Must advise you, this confere ...

Core Insights - Reynolds Consumer Products reported fourth-quarter net revenues of $1.03 billion, a 1% increase from $1.02 billion year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $220 million, marking a 3% year-over-year growth, and adjusted EPS of $0.59 compared to $0.58 in the prior-year quarter, exceeding all guided metrics [1][6]. Financial Performance - For the full year 2025, net revenues reached $3.7 billion, up 1% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA was $667 million, slightly down from $678 million in 2024, and adjusted EPS was $1.64 compared to $1.67, noting a prior year tax benefit [12]. - Free cash flow for 2025 was $316 million, supported by effective working capital management, with a net leverage ratio of 2.1x at year-end [5][14]. Market Dynamics - The company experienced broad market share gains and improved profitability despite challenges such as commodity inflation and tariff pressures, with significant performance in Hefty Waste Bags, Hefty Food Bags, and Reynolds Wrap [2][3]. - Competitive conditions intensified in the fourth quarter, particularly in waste and food bags, prompting the company to maintain its pricing strategy to protect brand equity [10]. Strategic Initiatives - Innovation and revenue growth management were highlighted as key themes for 2025, with new product launches including Hefty Waste Bags with new scents and Reynolds Kitchens Parchment Cooking Bags [7][8]. - The company plans to realign its category organization in 2026 to enhance clarity and focus, consolidating waste bags and food bags into distinct business units [19]. 2026 Outlook - Management anticipates flat adjusted EBITDA for 2026 amid ongoing headwinds, with net revenues expected to decline by 3% to increase by 1% compared to 2025 [4][16]. - Capital expenditures are projected to remain elevated in the low $200 million range to support automation and strategic initiatives [20].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net revenues of $1.03 billion for Q4 2025, representing a 1% increase from $1.02 billion in Q4 2024 [18] - Full-year net revenues for 2025 were $3.7 billion, also reflecting a 1% year-over-year growth [20] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $220 million, a 3% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [20] - Full-year adjusted EBITDA decreased to $667 million from $678 million in 2024 [21] - Adjusted EPS for Q4 2025 was $0.59, slightly up from $0.58 in Q4 2024 [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hefty Waste and Storage and Presto segments delivered strong volume growth and share gains in Q4 2025 [19] - Hefty Tableware saw slight sequential volume improvement but continued to face challenges due to declines in foam products [19] - The company achieved share gains across its six largest core categories, outperforming its categories by over 1 point in 2025 and by 2 points in Q4 [6][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The competitive landscape in the waste bag and food bag categories intensified, with increased promotional and pricing activity from competitors [11] - The company noted a pronounced increase in promotional activities in the waste category as it exited 2025 [40] - Retail volumes were down 2 points in Q4, but the company managed to maintain pricing power despite commodity pressures [11][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation and differentiation as central to its growth strategy for 2026, building on the momentum established in 2025 [14] - A restructuring of the Hefty and Presto segments aims to enhance clarity and focus on category management, rather than cost-cutting [64] - The company plans to continue investing in automation and productivity initiatives to improve operational efficiency [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates sustained headwinds in 2026, emphasizing the need for adaptability and focus [10] - The company expects net revenues for 2026 to range from -3% to +1% compared to 2025, with retail branded sales expected to perform at or above category performance [24] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate challenges and maintain stable results in 2026, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be flat year-over-year [13][25] Other Important Information - The company generated free cash flow of $316 million in 2025, benefiting from tight working capital management [22] - The company reduced its net debt leverage to 2.1x, providing financial flexibility for future investments [22] - Capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to remain elevated, with a focus on organic investment opportunities [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the restructuring with Presto and Hefty? - Management emphasized clarity and focus in category management, aiming for end-to-end management across each business unit without significant personnel changes [32][34] Question: Are we nearing a stabilization point for foam products? - Management indicated that while the category saw a 14% decline in 2025, they expect a reduced rate of decline in 2026, driven by consumer behavior and cost considerations [36] Question: Can you elaborate on the competitive dynamics in the Hefty business? - Management noted increased promotional activity from competitors but remains committed to maintaining brand equity and pricing strategy [40][41] Question: How do you view the elasticity of aluminum foil pricing? - Management believes that gradual price increases have helped mitigate elasticity risks, with tighter price gaps to private label brands providing some insulation [75] Question: What is the outlook for SG&A expenses in 2026? - Management plans to increase SG&A to support innovation and strategic initiatives while maintaining discipline in controllable costs [56]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net revenues of $1.03 billion for Q4 2025, representing a 1% increase from $1.02 billion in Q4 2024 [18] - Full-year net revenues for 2025 were $3.7 billion, also reflecting a 1% year-over-year growth [20] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $220 million, a 3% increase compared to the same period in the previous year [20] - Full-year adjusted EBITDA decreased to $667 million from $678 million in 2024 [21] - Free cash flow for the full year was $316 million, benefiting from tight working capital management [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hefty Waste and Storage and Presto segments delivered strong volume growth and share gains in Q4 2025 [19] - Hefty Tableware saw slight sequential volume improvement but continued to face challenges due to declines in foam products [19] - The company achieved share gains across its six largest core categories, outperforming the market by 2 points in Q4 2025 [6][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The competitive landscape in the waste bag and food bag categories intensified, with increased promotional and pricing activity from competitors [11] - The company noted a decline in retail volumes of 2 points, despite implementing pricing actions to offset commodity cost increases [11][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three core pillars: Revenue Growth Management, Share Gap Selling, and Innovation [14] - A restructuring of the Hefty and Presto segments aims to enhance clarity and focus on category innovation and growth opportunities [34][64] - The company plans to continue investing in innovation and distribution opportunities to accelerate earnings growth [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates sustained headwinds in 2026, emphasizing the need for adaptability and focus [10] - The company expects net revenues for 2026 to range from -3% to +1% compared to 2025, with retail branded sales expected to perform at or above category performance [24][25] - Management remains confident in the company's category leadership and innovation capabilities despite near-term challenges [13] Other Important Information - The company successfully refinanced its term loan facility and reduced net debt leverage to 2.1 times, providing financial flexibility for future investments [22] - The company plans to realign its category organization to increase efficiencies and sharpen focus on innovation [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the restructuring with Presto and Hefty? - The restructuring aims for clarity and focus, allowing dedicated teams to manage categories more effectively without significant personnel changes [32][34] Question: Are we nearing a stabilization point for foam products? - Volumes in the foam category were down about 14% in 2025, with expectations of a reduced decline in 2026, driven by consumer behavior and cost considerations [36] Question: Can you elaborate on the competitive dynamics around the Hefty business? - The company has seen increased promotional activity from competitors but believes maintaining price points is essential for brand equity [40][41] Question: How do you view the elasticity of aluminum foil pricing? - The company has observed tighter price gaps to private label and believes gradual price increases have helped mitigate elasticity risks [75][76] Question: What is the outlook for SG&A expenses in 2026? - SG&A is expected to increase as the company invests in innovation and strategic initiatives, following a year of optimizing costs [56]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net revenues of $1.03 billion for Q4 2025, representing a 1% increase from $1.02 billion in Q4 2024 [19] - Full-year net revenues for 2025 were $3.7 billion, also reflecting a 1% year-over-year growth [22] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $220 million, a 3% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [21] - Full-year adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $667 million, down from $678 million in 2024 [23] - Free cash flow for the full year was $316 million, benefiting from tight working capital management [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hefty Waste and Storage and Presto segments delivered strong volume growth and share gains in Q4 2025 [20] - Hefty Tableware saw slight sequential volume improvement but continued to face challenges due to declines in foam products [20] - The company achieved share gains across its six largest core categories, outperforming the market by 2 points in Q4 2025 [5][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail volumes exceeded overall category trends, outperforming by 2 points [19] - The foil category maintained constructive dynamics despite multiple price increases [19] - The competitive landscape intensified in the waste bag and food bag categories, with increased promotional and pricing activity from competitors [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three core pillars: Revenue Growth Management, Share Gap Selling, and Innovation [13][15] - A restructuring of category organization is planned to enhance efficiency and sharpen focus on innovation [16] - The company aims to continue investing in innovation and distribution opportunities to accelerate earnings growth [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management anticipates sustained headwinds in 2026, emphasizing the need for adaptability and focus [10] - The company expects net revenues for 2026 to range from -3% to +1% compared to 2025 [26] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is projected to be between $660 million and $675 million [27] Other Important Information - The company successfully refinanced its term loan facility, extending debt maturity and reducing net debt leverage to 2.1 times [24] - The management highlighted the importance of maintaining brand equity and a long-term view on pricing strategy [42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the restructuring with Presto and Hefty? - The restructuring aims for clarity and focus, allowing dedicated teams to manage categories more effectively without significant personnel changes [34][35] Question: Are we nearing a stabilization point for foam products? - Volumes in the foam category were down about 14% in 2025, with expectations of a lesser decline in 2026 [37] Question: What are the competitive dynamics around the Hefty business? - The company has seen increased promotional activity from competitors but believes maintaining price points is essential for brand equity [41][42] Question: How is the company managing pricing and elasticity in the foil category? - The company has taken measured quarterly price increases and observed tighter price gaps with private labels, which may provide some insulation against elasticity risks [76] Question: What is the outlook for SG&A expenses in 2026? - SG&A is expected to increase as the company invests in innovation and strategic initiatives, following a year of cost optimization [56]

Core Insights - Coca-Cola's Revenue Growth Management (RGM) strategy is crucial for maintaining growth amidst challenging consumer conditions, with a focus on pricing, pack architecture, and channel mix [2][6] - In Q3 2025, Coca-Cola's revenues increased by 5% to $12.46 billion, with organic revenues rising by 6% and gaining value share in key markets [3][11] - The company is balancing pricing strategies with mix optimization, utilizing smaller pack sizes to address affordability while driving revenue growth [4][11] Revenue Growth Management Strategy - RGM involves refining brand-price-pack architecture to cater to diverse consumer needs, with smaller pack sizes like mini cans generating a $1 billion revenue stream in North America [4] - Coca-Cola is also enhancing its product mix with premium offerings, demonstrating RGM's role in both accessibility and premiumization [5] - The company emphasizes that recent growth is attributed to targeted RGM actions, collaboration with bottlers, and quicker local decision-making [6] Competitive Landscape - PepsiCo's revenue growth strategies are gaining traction through optimized promotions and affordable pack sizes, leading to improved volumes and sustained pricing discipline [8] - Keurig Dr Pepper's initiatives are yielding results with disciplined pricing and strong brand execution, contributing to solid net sales growth [9] Financial Performance - Coca-Cola's organic revenue growth of 6% in Q3 2025 aligns with the high end of its long-term growth algorithm [11] - The company's shares have appreciated by 13.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 9.6% [12] - Coca-Cola's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 21.45X, higher than the industry's 17.84X [14] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Coca-Cola's earnings implies year-over-year growth of 3.5% for 2025 and 8% for 2026, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter net sales were $368 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $20 million, consistent with expectations [20][21] - Organic net sales declined by 6% year-over-year, showing sequential improvement from an 11% decline in Q4 [22] - Adjusted gross margin was 19.5%, a decrease of approximately 120 basis points year-over-year, driven by lower volume mix and cost inflation [22] - SG&A expenses decreased by 8% year-over-year to $66 million, representing 17.8% of net sales [22][23] - Adjusted net loss was $7 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, compared to an adjusted net loss of $4 million or $0.04 per diluted share in the prior year [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North America, organic net sales declined by 7%, primarily due to lower volume in snacks, but growth was seen in beverages, baby and kids, and meal prep [25] - Adjusted EBITDA in North America increased by 37% to $17 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 8.3% [25] - International organic net sales declined by 4%, driven by lower sales in baby and kids, partially offset by growth in meal prep [26] - International adjusted gross margin was 15.7%, approximately 530 basis points below the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA of $13 million [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic net sales growth in snacks was down 17% year-over-year, while baby and kids saw a decline of 10% [27] - Beverages category experienced a 2% growth year-over-year, driven by tea in North America [28] - Meal preparation organic net sales growth was flat year-over-year, with strength in yogurt offset by softness in meat-free products [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on stabilizing sales, improving profitability, optimizing cash, and deleveraging the balance sheet [5][19] - A turnaround strategy is anchored in five key actions: streamlining the portfolio, accelerating brand renovation and innovation, implementing strategic revenue growth management and pricing, driving productivity and working capital efficiency, and strengthening digital capabilities [8][34] - The company plans to eliminate approximately 30% of its SKUs in North America by fiscal 2027 to improve supply chain efficiency [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the second half of the fiscal year, expecting stronger top and bottom-line performance compared to the first half [31] - The company is stepping up marketing investments and anticipates benefits from SG&A work and pricing actions to build throughout the year [32] - Management acknowledged challenges in the consumer environment but emphasized the value proposition of their health and wellness products [41][42] Other Important Information - Free cash flow for the quarter was an outflow of $14 million, an improvement from an outflow of $17 million in the prior year [29] - The company closed the quarter with cash on hand of $48 million and net debt of $668 million, an increase driven by seasonal funding of working capital [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Anticipation of organic sales in Q2 - Management expects some moderation in the year-over-year rate of decline in organic sales in Q2, with a focus on improvement in the second half [37] Question: Elasticity of pricing actions in North America - Early data indicates that pricing on tea is in line with expectations, while baby category pricing has been slower to roll out [39] Question: Consumer behavior in the current environment - Management noted a shift towards value-seeking behavior among consumers, with a focus on delivering value through better-for-you products [41][42]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third quarter net revenues were $931 million, an increase of more than 2% from $910 million in the year-ago period [16] - Adjusted EBITDA was $168 million compared to $171 million in the year-ago period, reflecting improved results in all operating segments [17] - Adjusted EPS was $0.42 versus $0.41 in the year-ago period, reflecting lower interest costs and tax initiatives [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail revenue of $864 million increased 1% compared to the third quarter of 2023, with retail volume growing 1% excluding foam products [16] - Reynolds Wrap retail sales were up 7%, with volumes outperforming the category [9] - Hefty brand, a nearly $2 billion brand, continues to lead in the scented waste bag segment, driving growth in the waste bag category [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The operating environment remains challenging, with low and middle-income consumers under pressure and retailers facing cost inflation [8] - The company noted that inflation remains above the Fed's target, impacting consumer sentiment negatively [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on innovation and revenue growth management to drive share gains and profitability [39] - New leadership, including a Chief Commercial Officer and Chief Operations Officer, is expected to enhance operational capabilities and drive growth [14][39] - The company is investing in high-return projects to support growth and improve margins [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the promotional environment and addressing consumer pressures [31][34] - The company anticipates a flat to down 1% revenue outlook for the full year compared to 2024, with adjusted EBITDA guidance of $655 million to $665 million [19] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining cost discipline and leveraging U.S.-centric manufacturing advantages [8][19] Other Important Information - The company is making progress in managing manufacturing, supply chain, and SG&A costs while driving market share [7] - New product innovations, such as Reynolds Kitchens Air Fryer Liners, have been recognized for their growth potential [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: How do you see the setup for the important holiday season in terms of promotional intensity and consumer behavior? - Management noted increased promotional activity in waste and food bags but feels confident in navigating the environment, with Hefty Waste Bags outperforming the category [31][32][34] Question: Why did you flag the risk of retailers shifting store brands to other suppliers? - Management indicated that economic challenges and tariff uncertainties could lead retailers to seek value through private label business, but they expect to win more than they lose as a U.S.-centric manufacturer [35] Question: Can you discuss the long-term strategy related to operational capabilities and growth? - Management emphasized the focus on innovation, revenue growth management, and driving additional share at the customer level as key components of their strategy [39][40] Question: What is the outlook for the tableware business and foam headwinds? - Management stated that foam headwinds are expected to lessen next year, and they are pleased with how profitability is being managed despite volume declines [45] Question: Can you comment on the promotional impact in the Hefty Waste and Storage segment? - Management acknowledged increased promotional intensity but highlighted that their promotional activity aligns with overall company levels, contributing to strong performance [48] Question: What is the current state of consumer behavior and its impact on Reynolds Cooking and Baking? - Management noted modest tailwinds from increased cooking at home but also acknowledged the impact of rising prices in the marketplace [66]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third quarter net revenues were $931 million, an increase of more than 2% from $910 million in the year-ago period [16] - Adjusted EPS was $0.42 compared to $0.41 in the year-ago period, reflecting lower interest costs and tax initiatives [17] - Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $168 million compared to $171 million in the year-ago period [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail revenue of $864 million increased 1% compared to the third quarter of 2023, with retail volume growing 1% excluding foam products [16] - Reynolds Wrap retail sales were up 7%, with volumes outperforming the category [9] - Hefty Waste Bags saw retail takeaways increase by 9%, outperforming the category by 10 points [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The operating environment remains challenging, particularly for low and middle-income consumers facing cost inflation [8] - The company noted that inflation remains around 3%, above the Fed's target of 2% [33] - Consumer sentiment has declined, with double-digit decreases year to date heading into the holidays [33] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on innovation and revenue growth management to drive share gains and profitability [39] - A new Chief Commercial Officer is leading growth programs to enhance market share across major customers [9] - The company is investing in high-return projects to support growth and drive margin improvements [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in retail trends and the effectiveness of implemented programs to drive near and long-term results [19] - The company anticipates net revenues to be flat to down 1% for the full year compared to 2024 [19] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining cost discipline in all areas, including SG&A [19] Other Important Information - The company is making progress in managing manufacturing, supply chain, and SG&A costs while driving market share [7] - New product innovations, such as Reynolds Kitchens Air Fryer liners, have been recognized for their growth potential [10] - The company is positioned well within its target leverage range of 2x-2.5x EBITDA, allowing for continued investment in growth opportunities [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: How do you see the setup for the important holiday season in terms of promotional intensity and consumer behavior? - Management noted increased promotional activity in waste and food bags but feels confident in navigating the promotional environment [31][32] - Consumer sentiment remains under pressure, with inflation and cooling labor markets impacting lower-income demographics [33][34] Question: Can you elaborate on the risk of retailers shifting store brands to other suppliers? - Management flagged this risk due to economic challenges and uncertainty in supply chains, but expects to win more than lose as a US-centric manufacturer [34] Question: What is the grand plan related to operational capabilities and long-term growth? - The company is focused on driving growth through innovation, revenue growth management, and share gains at the customer level [39] Question: What is the outlook for the tableware business and foam products? - The tableware business is down primarily due to foam headwinds, but profitability has increased despite volume declines [42][43] Question: How is the Hefty Waste and Storage segment performing in terms of profitability and distribution? - The segment continues to perform well, with significant volume growth and effective management of promotional activities [46][47] Question: What is the current state of consumer behavior regarding dining out versus cooking at home? - There are modest tailwinds from increased cooking at home, but rising prices in the marketplace are also a factor [64]