Revenue Growth Slowdown
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Netflix Stock's Sell-Off Just Got Even Worse. Here's Why I'm Still Not Buying the Dip.
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-21 05:03
Core Insights - Netflix's fourth-quarter results showed strong revenue growth and operating margin expansion, yet shares fell approximately 5% post-report due to concerns over future growth guidance [1][2][3] Group 1: Positive Aspects of Q4 Results - Netflix's fourth-quarter revenue increased by 17.6% year-over-year, up from 17.2% in the previous quarter [3] - The operating margin improved to 24.5%, compared to 22.2% in Q4 2024, indicating operational efficiency [3] - Earnings per share rose by 30% year-over-year to 56 cents, reflecting strong profitability [3] - Free cash flow for Q4 2025 was approximately $1.9 billion, an increase from $1.4 billion in Q4 2024 [4] - Advertising revenue for 2025 was reported at $1.5 billion, 2.5 times that of 2024, contributing over 3% to total revenue [4] - The company surpassed 325 million paid memberships, showcasing its extensive market reach [5] Group 2: Concerns and Disappointments - Management's guidance for 2026 indicates a slowdown in constant-currency revenue growth to 11% to 13%, compared to 14% to 17% for 2025 [8] - The forecast for 12% to 14% year-over-year revenue growth in 2026 appears less optimistic when compared to previous guidance [6][7] - The stock's premium valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio in the mid-30s, may lead to further sell-offs due to the slower growth outlook [9] - If 2026 revenue growth is at the high end of the new forecast, it would only be 13%, a significant drop from 17% growth in 2025 [9]
Why The Trade Desk Stock Slumped 37% Last Month
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-03 19:01
Core Insights - The Trade Desk is experiencing slowing growth, with a significant decline in stock price, down 55% year-to-date and 37.1% in August [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2, The Trade Desk reported a revenue of $694 million, reflecting a 19% year-over-year growth, with a net income of $90 million and a margin of 13% [3]. - The previous year, the company had a higher revenue growth of 26%, indicating a slowdown in growth [4]. - Guidance for Q3 projects a further slowdown, expecting only 14% year-over-year growth to $717 million [4]. Market Position and Valuation - The Trade Desk has a high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 10, significantly above the S&P 500 average of 3.2, despite the recent drop in stock price [7]. - The company has a gross margin of approximately 80% over the last 12 months, but has not seen substantial growth in net income margins [8]. - Comparatively, Meta Platforms achieved a 21% year-over-year growth in advertising revenue, raising concerns about The Trade Desk's competitive position [5].