Rising Wedge Pattern
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Options Corner: Dan Ives Boosts AAPL Price Target
Youtube· 2025-12-08 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Apple has shown a recent resurgence in its stock performance, aligning closely with the S&P 500 but still underperforming compared to its tech sector peers [2][10]. Stock Performance - Apple's stock is up approximately 13%, while the tech sector has increased by about 22.5% [2]. - The company was previously the worst performer among the MAG 7 group but has improved its standing with a recovery [2]. Technical Analysis - A rising wedge pattern is observed in Apple's stock chart, with recent all-time highs at 288.62 [3]. - Key support levels are identified at approximately 279 and 265, with a short-term trading range between 265 and 277 [4]. Moving Averages and Momentum - The 5-day EMA has declined, but the stock remains within the wedge pattern [5]. - The 21-day EMA is around 275, indicating potential support, while the RSI shows a slowdown in momentum, moving out of the overbought territory [5][6]. Expected Price Movements - An expected move of about 3.3% is projected for the upcoming December 19th, with a 6% move anticipated for January [7]. - A breakout above the 277 level could target around 295, aligning with the upper edge of the range and the plus two standard deviation channel [7]. Market Sentiment and Trade Strategy - Positive sentiment surrounds Apple, with Evercore ISI setting a price target of $320 [9]. - A bullish call vertical strategy is suggested, involving buying a 275 strike call and selling a 295 strike call, with a risk of approximately $800 per spread and a potential gain of up to $1,200 if the stock exceeds 295 [11][14]. Volatility Considerations - Implied volatility is currently low, at about 9%, which is in the bottom 10% of the past 52 weeks, making it a favorable environment for buying verticals [15][16].
Options Corner: GD Example Trade
Youtube· 2025-09-29 13:19
Core Viewpoint - The defense sector is experiencing a positive trend, with defense stocks, particularly General Dynamics, gaining ground following reports that the US Department of Defense is urging contractors to increase missile production due to concerns over low weapon stockpiles in the event of a conflict with China [1][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Defense stocks, including General Dynamics, are higher in pre-market trading, with General Dynamics hitting an all-time high recently [2][3]. - The ITA defense sector ETF is performing well, although General Dynamics is underperforming compared to the broader industrial sector and S&P [3]. - Key players in the sector such as GE Aerospace, Boeing, and Raytheon are showing strong performance [3]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - General Dynamics has shown a rising wedge pattern, which is typically considered bearish, indicating a potential slowdown in the pace of gains [4]. - The stock has crossed above significant indicators, including a volume node and a 21-day exponential moving average, suggesting a key area of support around 324 [5]. - The expected price movement for October 17th is approximately ±3.4%, aligning with the plus two standard deviation channel [6]. Group 3: Options Strategy - An options strategy is being considered to capitalize on the stock's upward movement while avoiding the earnings report scheduled for October 29th [9][10]. - A bullish call vertical strategy is proposed, involving buying a 335 strike call and selling a 350 call to offset costs, with a risk of approximately $5 per contract [11][12]. - The break-even point for this strategy is set at 340, requiring a modest upward movement of about 1.5% from the opening price [12].