SAN FRANCISCO, July 7, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- On July 2, 2025, investors in Centene Corp. (NYSE: CNC) saw the price of their shares of this normally low-volatility stock crash 40%, after the company withdrew its guidance, blaming preliminary discussions and data generated by an independent actuary, Wakely.The unusual circumstances and severe investor reaction has prompted national shareholders rights firm Hagens Berman to open an investigation into whether Centene may have violated the securities laws. The fi ...

SAN FRANCISCO, July 03, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- On July 2, 2025, investors in Centene Corp. (NYSE: CNC) saw the price of their shares of this normally low-volatility stock crash 40%, after the company withdrew its guidance, blaming preliminary discussions and data generated by an independent actuary, Wakely. The unusual circumstances and severe investor reaction has prompted national shareholders rights firm Hagens Berman to open an investigation into whether Centene may have violated the securities laws. ...

Core Viewpoint - Centene has withdrawn its 2025 guidance due to lower-than-expected market growth in over 20 states, impacting its risk adjustment revenue expectations significantly [2][3]. Group 1: Market Analysis - An independent actuarial firm's analysis indicated that the overall market growth in 22 states where Centene operates is lower than anticipated, with morbidity levels being significantly higher than the company's previous assumptions [3]. - The analysis covers 22 of the 29 states where Centene sells individual coverage, representing approximately 72% of the company's marketplace membership [3]. Group 2: Financial Impact - Centene's preliminary analysis suggests a reduction in its full-year net risk adjustment revenue transfer expectation by about $1.8 billion, which translates to an adjusted diluted EPS impact of approximately $2.75 [4]. - The estimate is based on paid claims data through April 30, 2025, and includes projections for the remaining eight months of the year [4]. Group 3: Enrollment Trends - Centene's enrollment in Obamacare increased by 29% to 5.6 million members in the first quarter of the year, up from 4.3 million a year ago, despite a decrease of over 330,000 enrollees in Medicaid coverage [4]. Group 4: Legislative Context - The announcement coincides with the U.S. Senate passing a budget bill that could lead to 11 million Americans losing health insurance coverage, primarily affecting those enrolled in Obamacare and Medicaid, which Centene administers [5]. Group 5: Future Reporting - Centene is currently closing its second quarter and analyzing data, with plans to report its second quarter 2025 results and provide further insights on July 25 [6].

Core Viewpoint - Centene Corporation has withdrawn its previous 2025 GAAP and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) guidance due to lower-than-expected market growth and higher morbidity rates in the Health Insurance Marketplace [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Guidance and Market Analysis - The company analyzed 2025 Marketplace data from Wakely, covering 22 of its 29 states, which represents approximately 72% of its Marketplace membership [2]. - The preliminary analysis indicates a reduction in the full year net risk adjustment revenue transfer expectation by approximately $1.8 billion, leading to an adjusted diluted EPS impact of about $2.75 [4]. - The company anticipates further reductions in net risk adjustment revenue transfer expectations for the remaining seven states based on observed morbidity trends [5]. Group 2: Future Pricing and Market Strategy - Centene has begun the process of refiling 2026 Marketplace rates to reflect a higher projected baseline of Marketplace morbidity than previously expected [6]. - The company expects to implement corrective pricing actions for 2026 in states representing a substantial majority of its Marketplace membership [6]. Group 3: Medicaid and Medicare Performance - The Medicaid business has seen a step-up in medical cost trends, particularly in behavioral health, home health, and high-cost drugs, with expectations for a higher Medicaid Health Benefits Ratio (HBR) in Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025 [8]. - The Medicare Advantage and Medicare Prescription Drug Plan businesses are performing better than expected in Q2 2025, contributing positively to the company's overall financial performance [9]. Group 4: Upcoming Reporting - The company is in the process of closing Q2 2025 and will report results and provide additional insights on July 25, 2025 [10].