Risk transfer market disintermediation
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Catastrophe bonds' huge market gains put reinsurers on backfoot
Digital Insuranceยท 2025-10-21 18:46
Core Insights - The rise of catastrophe bonds is impacting the market share of reinsurers, with primary insurers increasingly relying on these bonds as a backstop for extreme disaster scenarios [1][2] - The market for catastrophe bonds has grown significantly, with primary insurers sponsoring 58% of all cat bonds, up from 48% two years ago [1] - Reinsurers are experiencing new market dynamics, as a larger share of their business is moving to alternative investment managers seeking higher returns [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Insurers' reliance on capital markets is increasing, coinciding with rising costs from natural catastrophes, with industry losses expected to exceed $150 billion this year [3] - The cat bond market has expanded by over 50% since 2023, reaching an estimated $55 billion [3] - The performance of cat bonds has been favorable, with the Swiss Re Global Cat Bond Performance Index up about 10% this year, following a 2% loss during Hurricane Ian in 2022 [5] Group 2: Reinsurer Strategies - Reinsurers are facing pressure on rates due to the expansion of the cat bond market, leading to signs of price correction [6] - Some reinsurers, like Swiss Re, are increasing their involvement in the cat bond market, both as issuers and investment managers [7] - Swiss Re emphasizes the importance of integrating capital markets with traditional reinsurance to enhance resilience against natural disasters [8] Group 3: Profit Risks - Property and casualty insurers face greater profit risks in 2025 compared to reinsurers, with significant losses from severe convective storms [8]