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高盛:欧康维视_2025 年中国医疗保健企业日 —— 关键要点
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-26 14:09
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Ocumension with a 12-month price target of HK$6.93, indicating a potential downside of 36.9% from the current price of HK$10.98 [6][7]. Core Insights - Management expressed confidence in OT-101 (low dose atropine) with ongoing business development negotiations and expects Phase 3 data readout in May 2026, which is crucial for regulatory filings in the US and China [3][5]. - The supply of Yutiq is expected to resume in China starting from July, with FY25 sales guidance reiterated to double to Rmb800 million, approximately 50% of which is anticipated from the Alcon franchise [5][6]. Summary by Sections Business Development Focus - The primary focus is on OT-101, with management anticipating positive Phase 3 data for children and adolescents with myopia, and plans for regulatory filings in both the US and China post-data readout [3][5]. - The ongoing Phase 3 multi-regional clinical trial (MRCT) includes over 700 participants globally, with a design that meets FDA and CDE requirements [3]. - Management is also monitoring SYD-101 for US visibility, especially following its recent EU approval, with the upcoming FDA PDUFA date seen as a significant event [3][5]. - Market penetration remains a key uncertainty, with accessible pricing between US$60-90/month and potential reimbursement, but concerns exist regarding physician willingness to prescribe and competition from compound pharmacies [3][5]. Financial Guidance - Management expects Yutiq supply constraints to ease, projecting flat or slight increases in sales for the full year, estimated at Rmb50-60 million [5]. - The FY25 sales guidance of Rmb800 million reflects a doubling of sales, with a significant contribution from the Alcon franchise [5][6].