Concerns Regarding Private Market Assets in 401(k) Plans - Introducing complexity with private equity might not be the best idea for most investors, as many struggle with basic investment principles [3] - There are concerns about the track record of private equity, especially in the current high-interest rate environment [4] - The private equity industry has changed significantly in the last 20 years, and it's unclear if current returns justify its inclusion alongside stocks in retirement accounts [5] - Liquidity and pricing issues are significant concerns, as these assets are not marked to market daily [5] - Transparency is lacking, making it difficult to objectively determine appropriate allocation amounts [11] Considerations for Including Private Market Assets - For young investors with a long-term investment horizon, private equity in a 401(k) might be suitable, but this is the exception, not the rule [6][7] - Private assets may offer greater diversification and non-correlation to a portfolio [8] - Private credit has performed well in recent years, but its future performance is uncertain due to increased competition and changing market conditions [10] Recommendations and Cautions - Investors should master investing in traditional asset classes like large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap, international stocks, and credit before considering alternative assets [13] - Advisors, the public, and everyone should do their homework and wait for more performance data before investing in private market assets [14] - Alternative investments should only be considered for accounts above a certain size [12]

Market Uncertainty & Geopolitical Risk - The oil market faces significant uncertainty due to geopolitical tensions, particularly the attack in Iran on Israel [2][3] - Escalation risks are high, with potential responses from Israel and possible actions by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz or against US assets [5][6][7] - Multiple variables make it difficult to predict the direction of the oil market [3][4][6][7] Trading Strategy & Market Dynamics - Trading is considered tough and risky due to the numerous wild cards [3] - Long positions in heating oil cracks and gas oil are seen as relatively safer trades [3] - Refinery spreads are highlighted as the most straightforward and liquid risk-reward opportunity [3][7] - Excess production from Saudi Arabia is influencing market dynamics [3] Potential Investment Opportunity - If there was a way to invest in the Iranian stock market, it might be a worthwhile opportunity, as the situation may improve [7][8]