Core Insights - Analysts identify nine S&P 500 stocks that have declined 30% or more this year, including Moderna and Kenvue, which are expected to rally by 30% or more in the next 12 months [1][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - The S&P 500 has increased by 35% since its year-to-date low on April 8, 2025, and has risen over 92% since the bull market began on October 12, 2022, excluding dividends [2]. - Analysts are searching for stocks that have not yet fully participated in the current market rally [2]. Group 2: Company-Specific Analysis - Moderna's stock has dropped nearly 40% this year, with an expected earnings per share (EPS) decline of 4% [3]. - Despite the negative sentiment, analysts project a 59% upside for Moderna, targeting a price of 40.30 in 12 months [4]. - Kenvue's stock is down 32% this year, but analysts anticipate an 8% EPS increase in 2026, with a target price of 20.37, representing a 40.4% gain [4]. Group 3: Promising Stocks - The following "left out" S&P 500 stocks are expected to recover significantly: - Moderna (MRNA): YTD change -39.0%, 12-month upside 59.0% [6] - Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): YTD change -35.5%, 12-month upside 52.6% [6] - GoDaddy (GDDY): YTD change -33.7%, 12-month upside 44.4% [6] - Kenvue (KVUE): YTD change -32.0%, 12-month upside 40.4% [6] - Fiserv (FI): YTD change -38.6%, 12-month upside 34.7% [6] - The Trade Desk (TTD): YTD change -56.0%, 12-month upside 34.6% [6] - Align Technology (ALGN): YTD change -36.1%, 12-month upside 31.5% [6] - Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG): YTD change -33.2%, 12-month upside 31.4% [6] - Oneok (OKE): YTD change -31.2%, 12-month upside 31.3% [6]

Group 1 - The appetite for equities among large investors is decreasing due to concerns that the current rally may be unsustainable, which could be beneficial for the bull market [1][2] - Professional allocators are showing skepticism, while retail investors are experiencing euphoria as the S&P 500 approaches its sixth consecutive monthly gain, suggesting that the cash held by professionals could fuel further stock rallies [2][3] - Factors contributing to the skepticism include the ongoing US government shutdown, persistent trade tensions with China, and caution surrounding the artificial intelligence sector [3][4] Group 2 - At Deutsche Bank AG, a measure of aggregate equity positioning has shifted from moderately overweight to neutral, indicating a significant reduction in stock exposure among discretionary investors [4] - "Fast money" investors have exhibited a pronounced risk-off sentiment, with long-short hedge funds reducing net leverage to 50.7%, the lowest level in three years, while offloading stocks at a rapid pace [5]

Core Insights - The S&P 500 has seen five stocks double in value this year, indicating a broadening rally beyond just AI-related stocks [1][2] - Robinhood Markets has more than tripled in value, becoming the top performer among S&P 500 stocks [3] - Seagate Technology and Newmont have also shown significant gains, with increases of 145% and 143% respectively [4][5] Company Performance - **Robinhood Markets (HOOD)**: Stock has increased by 262.2% this year, with analysts projecting a 59% profit rise this year and 19% in 2026. The app is evolving to include sports wagering [3][6] - **Seagate Technology (STX)**: Stock is up 145.2% this year, driven by strong PC demand due to the retirement of Windows 10. Analysts expect a 32% rise in EPS this fiscal year [4][6] - **Newmont (NEM)**: Stock has risen by 143.3% this year, benefiting from higher gold and silver prices. Profit is projected to increase by 71% this year [5][6] - **Palantir Technologies (PLTR)**: Stock has increased by 137.7% this year, showcasing the potential of AI-related companies [6] - **Micron Technology (MU)**: Stock has risen by 122.3% this year, contributing to the overall performance of the S&P 500 [6] Market Context - The overall S&P 500 index is up 13% this year, highlighting the exceptional performance of the doubling stocks [5] - The need for the remaining 493 stocks in the S&P 500 to contribute more to sustain the bull market is emphasized [2]