Core Viewpoint - Moderna has experienced significant fluctuations in stock performance and earnings since the peak of its COVID-19 vaccine sales, but it has a promising pipeline of products that could lead to future growth [1][4][10] Group 1: Current Performance - Demand for COVID vaccinations has declined, impacting Moderna's revenue, which fell from a peak of over $19 billion in 2022 to $3.2 billion last year [4][2] - Moderna's stock has dropped more than 90% since its peak in 2021 due to disappointing earnings and performance [4][1] Group 2: Future Prospects - The company aims to bring as many as 10 products to market by 2027, including vaccines for cytomegalovirus (CMV), personalized cancer, and norovirus, all currently in phase 3 trials [5][6] - Moderna's clinical trial success rate is higher than the industry average, with an 83% probability of success for phase 3 trials compared to 69% for traditional biopharma [7] - The company predicts a compound annual growth rate of 25%, potentially increasing revenue to $6 billion by 2028 as new products are launched [8] Group 3: Research and Development Strategy - Moderna is adjusting its R&D investments, with respiratory vaccine research accounting for half of its investment from 2024 to 2025, and oncology research expected to rise significantly from 2026 to 2028 [9] - By 2030, Moderna is likely to have multiple products across various treatment areas, indicating a potential new phase of revenue growth [10]

Core Insights - The first quarter of 2025 was challenging for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, with losses of 4.6% and 10.4% respectively, impacting shares of Moderna which fell by 31.8% [1] - Moderna's revenue has significantly declined post-pandemic, with 2022 sales of $19.3 billion dropping to just $3.2 billion in 2024, reflecting a more than 50% year-over-year decline [2] - The company has lowered its sales guidance for 2025 to a range of $1 billion, down from previous expectations of $2.5 billion to $3.5 billion, indicating weakened demand for its vaccines [3] Financial Performance - Moderna's sales have plummeted since the pandemic, with a stark contrast between 2022 and 2024 figures [2] - The company is now projecting sales for 2025 to be between $1.5 billion and $2.5 billion, a significant reduction from earlier forecasts [3] Cost-Cutting Measures - In response to declining revenues, Moderna is accelerating cost-cutting plans aimed at reducing expenses by $1 billion in 2025 [4] Regulatory Environment - The resignation of Peter Marks, a key FDA official, has raised concerns among investors, as it may lead to delays in vaccine development programs [5][6] - The political climate surrounding the FDA has been described as a "significant negative" for biotech and biopharma companies, particularly for vaccine manufacturers like Moderna [6]

Moderna (MRNA 2.21%) has gone through its share of ups and downs in recent years, from posting soaring coronavirus vaccine revenue a few years ago to seeing demand for that product sink in the later stages of the coronavirus pandemic. Now, the biotech is trying to show the world that it can expand beyond coronavirus prevention as it has a full pipeline of programs ranging from latent viruses and rare diseases to cancer. In fact, its cancer vaccine is in late-stage development and has generated positive clin ...

Shares of Moderna (MRNA -9.19%) are falling on Monday. The company's stock lost 7.9% as of 1:30 p.m. ET and was down as much as 13.9% earlier in the day. The steep decline comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite lost 0.4% and 1.1%, respectively. The vaccine maker's shares tumbled following the resignation of a key U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) official who oversaw vaccine approvals. The top FDA vaccine regulator leaves Peter Marks, who led the FDA's Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research ( ...

Core Viewpoint - Moderna's stock has been trending recently, with a return of -3.8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -7.5% change, while the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry saw a loss of 0.6% [1] Earnings Estimates Revisions - For the current quarter, Moderna is expected to report a loss of $2.90 per share, reflecting a change of +5.5% from the same quarter last year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate changing by +0.5% over the last 30 days [4] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is -$10.03, indicating a change of -13.1% from the previous year, with a recent change of -4.3% [4] - For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate of -$7.02 shows a change of +29.9% from the prior year, with an increase of +6.6% over the past month [5] Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $142.28 million, indicating a year-over-year change of -14.8% [8] - For the current fiscal year, the sales estimate is $2.2 billion, reflecting a change of -31.9%, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $3.01 billion indicates a change of +36.7% [8] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Moderna's revenues were $966 million, representing a year-over-year decline of -65.6%, with an EPS of -$2.50 compared to $0.55 a year ago [9] - The reported revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $956.11 million by +1.04%, and the EPS surprise was +7.06% [10] - Moderna has consistently beaten consensus EPS and revenue estimates in the trailing four quarters [10] Valuation - Moderna is graded F in the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a premium compared to its peers [14] - Valuation multiples such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) are essential for determining whether the stock is overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued [12][13] Bottom Line - The current Zacks Rank of 3 suggests that Moderna may perform in line with the broader market in the near term, despite the market buzz surrounding the company [15]

It's been nearly five years since Moderna (MRNA -1.60%) emerged as a biotech industry disruptor, with its COVID-19 vaccine playing a landmark role in tackling the global pandemic in late 2020. Despite its generating record sales and profits through 2022, early projections of sustained demand for coronavirus vaccinations failed to materialize, leading to a sharp drop in the business. Shareholders haven't been immune to a deep reset in the company's expectations, with the stock losing 92% of its value from it ...

Shares of vaccine-maker Moderna (MRNA) closed at $34.71 on Monday, close to their 52-week low of $29.25.Moderna is facing several headwinds, including the declining COVID-19 vaccine and the soft sales performance of its recently launched RSV vaccine. There have also been several third-party reports that the U.S. government is re-evaluating the $590 million contract that was recently awarded to the company for the development of an mRNA-based vaccine for bird flu.In the past year, MRNA stock has lost two-thi ...

The most recent trading session ended with Moderna (MRNA) standing at $34.71, reflecting a +0.26% shift from the previouse trading day's closing. This move lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.64%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.85%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 0.31%.The the stock of biotechnology company has risen by 4.94% in the past month, leading the Medical sector's loss of 0.88% and the S&P 500's loss of 7.69%.Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close ...

Core Viewpoint - Moderna's stock has significantly declined from its peak during the COVID-19 pandemic, raising questions about its current valuation and future potential [1][4]. Company Performance - Moderna's sales surged to $18.5 billion in 2021 due to the success of its COVID-19 vaccine, Spikevax, but are projected to drop to between $1.5 billion and $2.5 billion this year [3]. - The stock has fallen approximately 93% from its all-time high of over $450 per share in 2021, closing below $34 per share as of March 11, 2023 [1][4]. Investment Considerations - Despite the decline, Moderna's combined product sales are expected to reach around $2 billion this year, and the company holds about $7 billion in cash and investments, leading to a low enterprise value of approximately $6 billion [6][7]. - Moderna is working towards delivering up to 10 product approvals by 2027, with ongoing FDA reviews for expanding the approval of its RSV vaccine [8][9]. Product Pipeline - Moderna is developing several vaccines, including a seasonal flu vaccine and an individualized cancer vaccine in collaboration with Merck, which has shown promising results in early studies [10][11]. - The company has a robust pipeline, but the historical challenges of vaccine development and market competition may limit growth potential [12][14]. Market Environment - The current market for vaccines has been challenging, as evidenced by Pfizer's RSV vaccine sales, which have not met expectations despite strong backing [13][14]. - The leadership of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services by a vaccine skeptic raises concerns about the future regulatory environment for vaccine makers like Moderna [16]. Acquisition Potential - Moderna's low valuation and strong pipeline make it a potential acquisition target for larger pharmaceutical companies, particularly given its collaboration with Merck [17].

If you'd like to learn more about how to best position yourself in under valued stocks mispriced by the market to start March, consider joining Out Fox The Street .Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in MRNA over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am n ...