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Should You Buy, Sell or Hold J&J Stock After Robust Q3 Earnings?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-17 17:15
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported strong Q3 2025 results, with total revenues increasing by 6.8% to $24 billion and adjusted EPS rising by approximately 16% year over year [1][9] Financial Performance - Total revenues rose 6.8% to $24 billion in Q3 2025, with adjusted EPS of $2.77 per share [1][9] - J&J raised its 2025 sales guidance from $93.2 billion-$93.6 billion to $93.5 billion-$93.9 billion, indicating growth of 5.4%-5.9% compared to the previous expectation of 5.1%-5.6% [3] - The adjusted earnings per share guidance remains unchanged at $10.80-$10.90 [3] Business Segments - The Innovative Medicines unit's sales increased by 6.8% year over year, driven by key drugs such as Darzalex, Erleada, and Tremfya, despite the loss of exclusivity for Stelara [2][4] - The MedTech segment also saw a 6.8% increase in sales, supported by growth in cardiovascular and surgical businesses [2][12] Product Pipeline and Growth Drivers - J&J anticipates accelerated growth in the Innovative Medicine segment in 2026, driven by key products and new drugs [5] - Significant pipeline advancements include FDA approvals for Inlexzo and Imaavy, with potential for substantial sales contributions from new cancer drugs [6][7][8] - J&J believes that 10 new products in the pipeline could achieve peak sales of $5 billion [11] Strategic Developments - J&J plans to separate its Orthopaedics franchise into a standalone company, DePuy Synthes, to focus on high-growth markets [13][14] - The company expects better growth in the MedTech business in 2026, driven by new product launches and increased market focus [15] Challenges and Market Conditions - The loss of patent exclusivity for Stelara has significantly impacted sales, with a 40% decline in the first nine months of 2025 [17][18] - Sales are also affected by the Medicare Part D redesign, with an expected negative impact of approximately $2 billion in 2025 [19][20] - J&J faces ongoing legal challenges related to its talc-based products, with over 70,000 lawsuits filed [21][22] Stock Performance and Valuation - J&J's stock has outperformed the industry, rising 32.9% year-to-date compared to a 5.6% increase in the industry [23] - The stock is currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 17.05, higher than the industry average of 15.62 [25] - Consensus estimates for 2025 earnings remain unchanged at $10.86 per share, while estimates for 2026 have increased from $11.36 to $11.44 [29]