Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran advocates for aggressive rate cuts due to significant economic changes, particularly influenced by the Trump administration, while suggesting that the divergence in views among Fed officials may not be as pronounced as perceived [1][2]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Stance - Miran emphasizes the need for a brisk adjustment in monetary policy, arguing that the current interest rate setting is not yet critical but could lead to problems if maintained for an extended period [2]. - He believes that the neutral interest rate has declined, making current Fed policy more restrictive and potentially hindering economic growth [2][4]. Group 2: Economic Context - The release of the latest employment sector report was delayed due to a government shutdown, but Miran remains unconcerned, noting that there is still time before the next Fed meeting [3]. - Miran, who is on leave from a position at the Trump White House, dissented in favor of a half percentage point rate cut during the last Federal Open Market meeting, where the federal funds rate target was reduced to between 4% and 4.25% [4]. Group 3: Future Rate Projections - Fed officials anticipate further rate cuts, projecting the interest rate target to be in the range of 3.5% to 3.75% by the end of the year, with expectations of a further reduction to between 3.25% and 3.5% by 2026 [5]. - Miran's aggressive stance on rate cuts contrasts with concerns from other policymakers, particularly regional Fed bank presidents, who are wary of lowering rates amid inflation exceeding the Fed's 2% target [5]. Group 4: Inflation Concerns - Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee highlighted the Fed's challenging position due to rising services inflation, coupled with weakening payroll job creation [6].