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Options Corner: META's Moves & Example Trade
Youtube· 2025-12-30 14:05
Core Viewpoint - Meta Platforms has experienced a significant decline in stock performance after reaching record highs, primarily attributed to capital expenditure spending while continuing to invest in its business [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Meta is underperforming compared to the S&P 500, with a gain of approximately 11% versus the S&P's nearly 17% increase [2]. - Following the last earnings report, Meta's stock saw a notable drop but stabilized around the 585 level, which is identified as an important price point [3]. - The stock has struggled to surpass key resistance levels between 678 and 690, indicating a lack of upward momentum [4]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - A short-term trend line has been broken, suggesting a potential retreat to recent lows around 638 [5]. - Exponential moving averages are clustered, indicating limited directionality and a lack of strong trends, with a focus on pivot points for future movements [6]. - Consolidation patterns are observed in Meta's stock, similar to trends seen in other stocks within the MAG 7 group [7]. Group 3: Trading Strategy - An example trade strategy involves a neutral iron condor option, with a credit of 125, targeting break-even points at approximately 631.30 to 688.70, representing a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 [8][9]. - The maximum loss for this defined risk trade is set at 375, indicating a cautious approach given the absence of significant upcoming events [9]. - The trade aims for sideways movement in the stock, with a focus on a neutral position by selling out-of-the-money calls and puts [10].