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每日债市速递 | 30年国债收益率升破2.14%关口
Wind万得· 2025-03-17 22:38
Group 1: Market Overview - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 481 billion yuan for 7-day terms at an interest rate of 1.5% on March 17, resulting in a net withdrawal of 25 billion yuan for the day [2][3] - The interbank market showed stable overall funding supply, with overnight repo rates around 1.8%, while non-bank institutions saw rates rise above 1.9% due to tax periods and MLF expirations [3] - The latest overnight financing rate in the US is reported at 4.3% [4] Group 2: Interest Rates and Bonds - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit is around 1.98%, showing an increase from the previous day [7] - Major interest rate bonds in the interbank market saw a general rise in yields, with longer-term bonds experiencing larger increases [9] - The yields for various government bonds are as follows: 1-year at 1.644%, 2-year at 1.570%, and 10-year at 1.900% [9] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's industrial value-added for January-February increased by 5.9% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.51% in February [14] - Retail sales of consumer goods for January-February reached 83,731 billion yuan, growing by 4.0% year-on-year, with retail sales excluding automobiles increasing by 4.8% [14] Group 4: Global Economic Context - The US Treasury Secretary indicated uncertainty regarding the avoidance of a recession, although he dismissed the likelihood of a financial crisis [16] - Concerns about a downturn in the US stock market were noted, with suggestions that a healthy market correction could occur if favorable tax policies and deregulation are implemented [19] Group 5: Bond Market Developments - Shenzhen proposed a "four one" goal to explore a technology board in the bond market [20] - Certain bonds from Country Garden will be suspended from trading starting March 17 [20] - The China Securities Convertible Bond Index reached a nearly 10-year high, indicating a technical bull market in convertible bonds [20]