Workflow
Soft crude oil prices
icon
Search documents
Soft Crude Oil Prices Likely Ahead: What it Means for ExxonMobil
ZACKS· 2026-02-09 16:56
Core Insights - The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is currently above $60 per barrel, significantly lower than the previous year's levels, negatively impacting the upstream business of integrated energy companies like Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) [1][7] Group 1: Price Environment and Company Performance - EIA projects the average WTI price for 2026 at $52.21 per barrel, down from $65.40 for 2025, raising concerns about XOM's ability to maintain earnings from upstream operations amid declining oil prices [2] - XOM operates in cost-advantaged areas such as the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana, but lower oil prices are expected to reduce profits [2][7] - XOM's shares have increased by 34.3% over the past year, outperforming the industry average of 23.2% [6] Group 2: Financial Strength and Debt Exposure - XOM has a significantly lower exposure to debt capital compared to industry peers, allowing it to leverage its strong financial position to navigate low pricing environments [3] - Chevron Corporation (CVX) and EOG Resources Inc (EOG) also possess strong balance sheets with lower debt to capitalization ratios, enabling them to withstand business uncertainties [4][5] Group 3: Valuation Metrics - XOM's trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio stands at 9.62X, which is above the broader industry average of 5.80X, indicating a premium valuation [8]