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隆基绿能 - 2025 年第三季度亏损收窄,毛利率扩大
2025-10-31 01:53
Summary of LONGi Green Energy Technology Co Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: LONGi Green Energy Technology Co Ltd - **Industry**: China Utilities - **Date of Report**: October 30, 2025 Key Financial Metrics - **Net Loss**: Reported a net loss of Rmb834 million in 3Q25, an improvement from Rmb1.4 billion in 1Q25 and Rmb1.1 billion in 2Q25 [1][7] - **Revenue**: Revenue for 3Q25 was Rmb18.1 billion, down 9.8% year-over-year (yoy) and down 5.5% quarter-over-quarter (qoq) [2] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: GPM improved by 3.3 percentage points qoq to 4.9%, but decreased by 3.7 percentage points yoy [2][7] - **Asset Impairment Loss**: Recorded an asset impairment loss of Rmb894 million in 3Q25, compared to Rmb741 million in 2Q25 and Rmb774 million in 3Q24 [2] - **Total Shipments**: External shipments of wafers and modules remained stable at 13.4GW and 23.9GW respectively, compared to 13.5GW and 24.9GW in 2Q25 [2] Year-to-Date Performance - **Net Loss for 9M25**: Total net loss of Rmb3.4 billion, narrowed from Rmb6.5 billion in 9M24 [2] - **Revenue for 9M25**: Revenue fell 13.1% yoy to Rmb50.9 billion, with a GPM of 1.2% [3] Operational Insights - **Positive Cash Flow**: Net operating cash flow turned positive at Rmb1.8 billion as of end-9M25 [7] - **Price Dynamics**: Benefited from wafer price hikes in 3Q25, although challenges in passing through these price increases to the module segment continue to pressure profitability [7] Market Position and Valuation - **Stock Rating**: Underweight with a price target of Rmb14.01, indicating a potential downside of 35% from the current price of Rmb21.51 [5] - **Market Capitalization**: Current market cap stands at Rmb163 billion [5] - **52-Week Price Range**: Rmb22.14 to Rmb14.01 [5] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks**: - Higher-than-expected global solar demand [10] - Increased market share in the module segment due to new product demand [10] - Alleviated trade tensions affecting China's solar products [10] - **Downside Risks**: - Lower-than-expected global solar demand due to infrastructure challenges [10] - Tighter trade protection policies impacting China's solar products [10] - Intensified competition leading to significant margin contraction [10] Conclusion LONGi Green Energy Technology Co Ltd has shown signs of narrowing losses and improving gross profit margins, but continues to face challenges in revenue generation and market dynamics. The company’s stock is rated underweight, reflecting cautious sentiment amid ongoing market pressures and competition.