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17 Charts To Consider As Stocks Rally And Economy Cools
Benzingaยท 2025-09-16 17:16
Group 1 - The U.S. stock market and the economy are closely intertwined, but the composition of earnings per share (EPS) differs significantly from GDP, with services making up over 70% of GDP while S&P 500 earnings are nearly evenly split between services and goods/manufacturing [2][3] - The S&P 500 accounts for 80% of the total value of U.S. stocks, making it a key indicator of the U.S. stock market [8] - U.S. companies have shown strong earnings growth prospects compared to global markets, with analysts expecting this trend to continue [9][10] Group 2 - The S&P 500 has experienced consistent earnings growth over a long period, which is a primary driver of stock prices [12] - There has been a notable increase in spin-offs among S&P 500 companies, with 11 announced spin-offs as of early September, the highest since 2016 [15] - Companies are delaying their initial public offerings (IPOs), with the median age of IPOs rising from five years in 1999 to 14 years today, reflecting a trend of firms wanting to remain private longer [16] Group 3 - Discussions around tariffs have increased, with many companies citing pricing power as the most frequently mentioned strategy for mitigating tariff impacts [24] - The stock market has seen significant rallies, with the S&P 500 up more than 30% since April, and historical data suggests that such rallies often lead to further gains [27][28] - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a rate cut, which historically has led to positive returns for the S&P 500 in the following year, although the macroeconomic context is crucial for performance [32][33]