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公募基金下半年策略曝光:A股或延续震荡格局,重点关注四大方向
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-06-27 12:25
Core Viewpoint - The overall expectation for the A-share market in the second half of 2025 is a continuation of the current oscillation and rapid rotation of hot topics, with no systemic large-scale rally anticipated [2][3] Market Assessment - Multiple institutions predict that the market will likely maintain a fluctuating pattern with significant thematic rotation [3] - The uncertainty surrounding the recovery of corporate profit growth is a key factor limiting the potential for a broad market rally [3] - The focus on corporate earnings performance is expected to contribute positively to market dynamics, with fundamental factors likely to outperform historical averages [3][4] Investment Strategy - A consensus strategy among professional institutions is to adopt a balanced allocation to manage risks while selectively focusing on structural opportunities for returns [5] - The importance of monitoring macroeconomic highlights is emphasized, with adjustments to investment strategies based on key areas such as investment, consumption, and exports [4][5] Key Directions for Investment - Institutions identify four main investment directions: 1. Deepening investments in the technology sector, particularly in areas like AI, semiconductors, and military technology [6] 2. Capitalizing on the new consumption wave, including experiential and AI-enabled consumption models [6] 3. Focusing on stable dividend assets in a weak recovery environment [6] 4. Following national policy directions, particularly in sectors like power generation and coal chemical industries [6] Short-term Outlook - Some institutions maintain an optimistic short-term outlook, suggesting a "dual-line layout" strategy that includes focusing on sectors with improving industry conditions and stable earnings [7] - The A500 index is highlighted as a key investment vehicle for capturing growth in emerging sectors [7] Long-term Perspective - Long-term confidence in the market is supported by signs of fundamental improvement and potential capital inflows [8][9] - The low valuation of the Chinese stock market compared to global peers is expected to attract both traditional and new foreign investments [9]