Michael James McDonald is a stock market forecaster, author and former Senior Vice President of Investments at what is now Morgan Stanley. He is a long-term advocate of the theory of contrary opinion and the measurement of investor sentiment when forecasting price direction.His first book, " A Strategic Guide to the Coming Roller Coaster Market" was published in July of 2000, three months before the top of the dot comm market. On its cover was written, "How a new model of the stock market predicts the end o ...

Core Insights - Michael James McDonald is a stock market forecaster and former Senior Vice President of Investments at Morgan Stanley, known for his advocacy of contrary opinion theory and investor sentiment measurement in price forecasting [1] - His first book predicted the end of the 18-year bull market (1982-2000) and the beginning of a long-term trading range market, which occurred between 2000 and 2009 [1] - McDonald later forecasted the end of the ten-year trading range market in 2010, signaling the start of another long-term bull market, which also materialized [1] - He emphasizes that a significant portion of a stock's price can be influenced by investor emotions, particularly fear and greed, and identifies a universal warning sign when too many investors have the same expectations [1] - Through his company, Sentiment King, McDonald continues to analyze investor psychology to forecast major stock trends [1]

Michael James McDonald is a stock market forecaster, author and former Senior Vice President of Investments at what is now Morgan Stanley. He is a long-term advocate of the theory of contrary opinion and the measurement of investor sentiment when forecasting price direction.His first book, " A Strategic Guide to the Coming Roller Coaster Market" was published in July of 2000, three months before the top of the dot comm market. On its cover was written, "How a new model of the stock market predicts the end o ...

Michael James McDonald is a stock market forecaster, author and former Senior Vice President of Investments at what is now Morgan Stanley. He is a long-term advocate of the theory of contrary opinion and the measurement of investor sentiment when forecasting price direction.His first book, " A Strategic Guide to the Coming Roller Coaster Market" was published in July of 2000, three months before the top of the dot comm market. On its cover was written, "How a new model of the stock market predicts the end o ...

Komal is passionate about finance and the stock market. She enjoys forecasting future market trends using a fundamental and technical approach with a focus on both short- and long-term horizons. She intends to provide unbiased analysis to assist investors in selecting the best investment strategies to stay ahead of the market.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. ...

Core Viewpoint - Michael James McDonald emphasizes the importance of investor sentiment and contrary opinion in stock market forecasting, suggesting that emotional factors like fear and greed significantly influence stock prices [1] Group 1: Background and Publications - McDonald is a former Senior Vice President of Investments at Morgan Stanley and has authored multiple books on stock market forecasting, including "A Strategic Guide to the Coming Roller Coaster Market" published in July 2000 [1] - His second book, "Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis," was published in 2002, further establishing his expertise in market analysis [1] Group 2: Market Predictions - In 2010, McDonald predicted the end of a ten-year trading range and the beginning of a new long-term bull market, which subsequently occurred [1] - He asserts that when a majority of investors have the same expectation about a stock's price movement, it often leads to a contrary outcome, highlighting the significance of measuring investor expectations [1] Group 3: Sentiment Analysis - Through his company, the Sentiment King, McDonald focuses on studying and measuring investor psychology to forecast major stock trends, aiming to assist others in recognizing these trends [1]