Strategic Uncertainty
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Autodesk Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 13:35
Company Overview - Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) has a market cap of $63.8 billion and specializes in design, engineering, and digital content creation tools, serving various industries including architecture, construction, manufacturing, product design, and media/entertainment [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, ADSK stock has increased by 2.4%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which rose by 13.2% [2] - Year-to-date, ADSK shares are up 1.3%, lagging behind the S&P 500's 14.5% gain [2] - The stock has also underperformed compared to the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), which returned 22.9% over the same period [3] Investor Sentiment and Challenges - Concerns around profitability, capital efficiency, and strategic uncertainty have contributed to Autodesk's stock lagging behind the market [4] - The company has faced margin pressure, slower-than-expected Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth, and high customer acquisition costs, raising questions about its operating efficiency [4] - Activist pressure from Starboard Value has also impacted investor sentiment, challenging Autodesk's spending discipline and governance [4] Earnings Expectations - For the fiscal year ending in January 2026, analysts expect Autodesk's EPS to grow by 17.8% year-over-year to $6.90 [5] - The company's earnings surprise history is mixed, with three beats and one miss in the last four quarters [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 26 analysts covering Autodesk, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with 18 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and seven "Holds" [5] - The current configuration shows a decrease in "Strong Buy" ratings from 19 two months ago [6] - RBC Capital analyst Matthew Hedberg reaffirmed a "Buy" rating on Autodesk, with a mean price target of $365.36, indicating a 17.7% premium to current price levels, and a Street-high price target of $393 suggesting a 30.3% potential upside [6]