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Restaurant Stocks Struggle: 3 Companies are Defying the Odds
ZACKSยท 2025-06-20 14:51
Industry Overview - The restaurant industry has faced disappointment over the past three months, with industry stocks collectively slipping 2%, while the S&P 500 advanced 5.5% [1] - High costs and sluggish foot traffic continue to pressure margins and momentum within the industry [1] Traffic and Pricing Challenges - A rapid increase in menu prices is the primary reason behind the erosion of customer traffic, leading to challenges in maintaining customer counts as consumers express frustration with rising prices [2] Standout Performers - Despite the overall industry decline, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) has increased by 46.2%, Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) by 41.7%, and Wingstop Inc. (WING) by 62.6% over the same period, driven by brand loyalty, strategic innovation, and investor optimism [3] Company-Specific Insights Cracker Barrel - Cracker Barrel is benefiting from menu innovation, digital initiatives, and strategic remodels, with a 1% increase in comparable-store restaurant sales in the fiscal third quarter, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of positive growth [8] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 have risen by 9.9% and 8.4% to $3.10 and $3.48 per share, respectively, indicating strong momentum [9] Shake Shack - Shake Shack's growth is driven by enhanced operations, menu innovation, and store openings, with plans to open 45-50 company-operated Shacks this year [11] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been revised upward by 6.3% and 9.6% to $1.34 and $1.71 per share, respectively [12] Wingstop - Wingstop is experiencing growth from expansion efforts and a new kitchen operating platform, with international expansion becoming a significant growth driver [14] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen upward revisions of 6.8% and 5% to $3.90 and $5.03 per share, respectively [16] Summary of Opportunities - Cracker Barrel, Shake Shack, and Wingstop are demonstrating strong brand execution and strategic innovation, trading above their 50-day moving averages, indicating solid technical strength [17] - Rising earnings estimates and clear growth strategies position these stocks as compelling opportunities despite a challenging macroeconomic backdrop [18]