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Is Netflix a Buy Right Now? Why the Streaming Giant is Spooking Investors.
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-25 02:21
Group 1: Netflix's Financial Performance - Netflix reported Q4 2025 revenue of $12 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, with net income up 29% from the previous year and an operating margin of 31% [6] - The company has over 325 million subscribers globally, indicating strong market presence, particularly with opportunities for international expansion [5] - Ad revenue doubled in 2025 to $1.5 billion, with expectations to double again in 2026, highlighting a significant growth engine for the company [6] Group 2: Warner Bros. Discovery Acquisition - Netflix announced intentions to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for $82.7 billion, which could strengthen its position in the streaming market but raised investor concerns about the financial strain and execution risks [2][8] - The acquisition represents a strategic shift from in-house content creation to purchasing established entities, potentially expanding Netflix's content library significantly [8] - Netflix revised its offer for Warner Bros. to an all-cash proposal amid a competitive bidding war with Paramount Skydance Corporation, which is attempting a hostile takeover [3][4] Group 3: Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment - Despite beating earnings expectations, Netflix's shares have fallen 10% since the start of the year, indicating investor anxiety regarding the Warner Bros. acquisition [1][7] - Concerns about the cost and potential antitrust scrutiny related to the acquisition are causing nervousness among investors, overshadowing the company's strong fundamentals [8][10] - Analysts suggest that buying Netflix shares near its 52-week low may only be advisable for those bullish on the Warner Bros. deal, given the associated risks [10]
Netflix Stock Hits 52-Week Lows After Q4 Results: Analyst Says Bottom May Be In
Benzinga· 2026-01-21 18:23
Core Viewpoint - Netflix reported fourth-quarter financial results that beat analyst estimates for revenue and earnings per share, but the stock is experiencing downward pressure due to lowered price targets and concerns about guidance and near-term outlook [1][4]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan maintained a Neutral rating and lowered the price target from $112 to $100 [1]. - Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett also maintained a Neutral rating, reducing the price target from $105 to $94 [2]. - Canaccord Genuity analyst Maria Ripps kept a Buy rating but lowered the price target from $152.50 to $125 [2]. - KeyBanc analyst Justin Patterson maintained an Overweight rating, lowering the price target from $110 to $108 [2]. - Wedbush analyst Alicia Reese reiterated an Outperform rating with a price target of $115 [3]. Financial Performance Highlights - Netflix's fourth-quarter report showed strong performance with above-guided total revenue, operating income, and robust free cash flow generation [4]. - The company generated $1.5 billion in advertising revenue for the full fiscal year [4][9]. - Netflix's total subscribers reached 325 million, slightly below analyst estimates [6]. Concerns and Challenges - Analysts noted acquisition-related expenses and higher operating expense growth as negatives from the earnings report [5]. - There are concerns regarding Netflix's viewership growth, which may have disappointed investors despite a strong content lineup in the second half of 2025 [10][11]. - The acquisition of Warner Bros. is seen as a potential overhang affecting Netflix's stock performance [10][11]. Long-term Outlook - Analysts express a positive long-term outlook for Netflix, particularly regarding its advertising business, which is expected to see substantial growth [12]. - Despite near-term weaknesses, there is optimism that Netflix can return to low double-digit growth annually by fiscal 2027 [11].