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Can Zumiez's North American Strength Drive a Lasting Turnaround?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-16 13:30
Core Insights - Zumiez Inc. is focusing on its North American operations to drive a strong recovery in fiscal 2025, with regional net sales reaching $180 million in Q2, a 2.1% increase year-over-year, and comparable sales growing 4.2% for the sixth consecutive quarter [1][8] - The company has implemented a refined merchandising and pricing strategy, introducing over 120 new brands in 2024 and increasing private-label products to 30% of total sales, contributing to higher average unit retail prices and sales [2][5] - Gross profit for the fiscal second quarter was $76 million, a 5.9% increase from the previous year, with gross margin improving by 130 basis points to 35.5% due to product margin gains and better store occupancy cost leverage [3][8] Sales and Growth Expectations - Management anticipates comparable sales growth of 5.5% to 7.5% for Q3, with a strong start to the fall season indicated by a 13% increase in North American comps during the first 30 days of the fiscal third quarter [4][8] - Despite planned store closures, the company expects North America to contribute significantly to its targeted total sales growth of 3% to 4% for fiscal 2025 [4] Financial Performance and Valuation - Zumiez shares have increased by 4.5% year-to-date, contrasting with an 8.9% decline in the industry [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.37X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.76X, indicating a favorable valuation [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Zumiez's fiscal 2025 earnings suggests a remarkable year-over-year growth of 566.7%, with upward revisions in estimates for both fiscal 2025 and 2026 [9][10]