Core Insights - Oil prices have settled lower due to weaker manufacturing data and a stronger dollar, with Brent crude futures down 0.7% to $64.44 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude down 0.8% to $60.56 [1] - The OPEC+ decision to pause output hikes in the first quarter of next year indicates concerns about a potential supply glut [1][5] Economic Factors - The U.S. dollar reached a four-month high against the euro, raising doubts about further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies [3] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 35th day, is impacting various sectors, including food assistance and federal workers, which could lead to reduced domestic fuel demand [4] Industry Developments - TotalEnergies projects global oil demand to rise until 2040 before gradually declining due to energy security concerns and political coordination issues [5] - A Reuters survey indicated that OPEC's oil output increased in October, although the rate of increase has slowed significantly compared to previous months [6] - The impact of U.S. sanctions on Russian energy companies is diminishing, with expectations that sanctions on other trading companies will further affect market dynamics [6][7]

Oil Market Overview - Oil prices have decreased due to weaker manufacturing data and a stronger U.S. dollar, with Brent crude futures falling by 31 cents (0.5%) to $64.58 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude down by 33 cents (0.5%) to $60.72 [1] - The OPEC+ decision to pause output increases in the first quarter of next year indicates concerns about a potential supply glut [1][5] Economic Factors - The U.S. dollar reached a four-month high against the euro, raising doubts about further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies [3] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 35th day, is impacting various sectors, including food assistance and federal workers, which could lead to reduced domestic fuel demand [4] Regional Manufacturing Insights - Japan's manufacturing activity has contracted at the fastest rate in 19 months, primarily due to decreased demand in the automotive and semiconductor sectors [5] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The positive impact on oil prices from U.S. sanctions on Russian energy companies is diminishing, with expectations that sanctions set to take effect on November 21 may further affect market dynamics [6] - Market participants are anticipating U.S. inventory data, with expectations of an increase in crude oil stockpiles [6]

By Seher Dareen LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices fell more than 1% on Tuesday as the OPEC+ decision to pause output hikes in the first quarter of next year, along with weak manufacturing data and a stronger dollar, weighed on the market. Brent crude futures fell 81 cents, or 1.25%, to $64.08 a barrel by 1310 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 84 cents, or 1.38%, at $60.21. "The succession of poor manufacturing PMIs from Asia and then the U.S. ISM is a worry for oil demand. So is the ever prese ...

Core Insights - Oil prices declined over 1% due to OPEC+'s decision to pause output hikes in Q1 next year, weak manufacturing data, and a stronger dollar [1][2] - Brent crude futures fell by 82 cents (approximately 1.3%) to $64.07 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude decreased by 84 cents (1.4%) to $60.21 per barrel [1] Group 1: OPEC+ Decisions - OPEC+ agreed to a small oil output increase for December but decided to pause further increases in the first quarter of next year, indicating a cautious approach to potential oversupply [2][3] - This decision may signal OPEC+'s acknowledgment of a potential oversupply situation, contrasting their previously bullish outlook on demand trends [3] Group 2: Market Conditions - Weak manufacturing PMIs from Asia and the U.S. ISM are raising concerns about oil demand, compounded by tariff threats that could disrupt the market [2] - The strengthening U.S. dollar is exerting downward pressure on oil prices, making dollar-priced assets more expensive for holders of other currencies [4] Group 3: Regional Manufacturing Impact - Japan's manufacturing activity contracted at the fastest pace in 19 months, driven by decreased demand in the automotive and semiconductor sectors [4] Group 4: Inventory Expectations - Market participants are anticipating the latest U.S. inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), with expectations of a rise in U.S. crude oil stockpiles [5]

Core Insights - A stronger dollar negatively impacts risk appetite, precious metals, and earnings [1] Group 1: Implications for Risk Appetite - The appreciation of the dollar tends to reduce investors' risk appetite, leading to a more cautious investment environment [1] Group 2: Impact on Precious Metals - A stronger dollar generally results in lower prices for precious metals, as they are often inversely correlated with the dollar's strength [1] Group 3: Effects on Earnings - Companies that rely on international sales may experience a decline in earnings due to unfavorable currency exchange rates caused by a stronger dollar [1]