Supply - chain disruptions

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Boeing Gains 11% in a Year: Is This the Right Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 13:41
Core Viewpoint - Boeing's stock has increased by 10.8% over the past year, but it has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 and the broader aerospace sector [1][9]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Boeing's stock performance is lagging behind other aerospace companies, such as Embraer and Airbus, which have seen significant gains of 59.5% and 10.5%, respectively [2]. - The stock's performance is also below the Zacks aerospace-defense industry's rise of 21.7% and the broader Zacks Aerospace sector's growth of 21.3% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Boeing's revenues from the commercial aerospace segment surged 75% year over year to $8.15 billion in Q1 2025, driven by higher jet deliveries [4]. - The defense unit secured contracts worth $4 billion in Q1 2025, resulting in a backlog of $61.57 billion as of March 31, 2025, indicating strong demand in the defense market [4]. - Cash and cash equivalents totaled $23.67 billion at the end of Q1 2025, with long-term debt at $45.69 billion and current debt at $7.93 billion, reflecting a strong solvency position [5]. Group 3: Market Opportunities - Rising air travel and an aging global fleet are driving demand for new jets and aftermarket services, with Boeing forecasting a $4.4 trillion market opportunity for commercial aviation support and services from 2024 to 2043 [6]. - Boeing's Global Services unit has a backlog of $22.04 billion as of March 31, 2025, positioning it well for long-term growth [6]. Group 4: Earnings Estimates - Boeing's second-quarter 2025 sales are estimated to improve by 18.1% year over year, while full-year 2025 sales are projected to increase by 25.6% [12]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Boeing's long-term earnings growth rate is pegged at 18.1%, higher than the industry's 11.8% [11]. Group 5: Challenges - Boeing faces supply-chain issues and a weak return on invested capital (ROIC), which is currently negative and lags behind peers like Embraer and Airbus [18][19]. - The stock is trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.78, which is a premium compared to the peer group's average of 1.75 [20][22].
3 Transport-Service Stocks to Keep an Eye on Amid Industry Headwinds
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:15
Industry Overview - The Zacks Transportation-Services industry is currently facing challenges such as weak freight rates, high inflation, and ongoing supply-chain disruptions [1][3][4] - Tariff-related uncertainty is another significant challenge impacting the industry [1][5] - Companies like Expeditors International of Washington, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, and Matson are noted for their ability to navigate these challenges [1] Economic Impact - The health of companies in the Zacks Transportation-Services industry is directly linked to the overall economy, with improvements in manufactured and retail goods positively affecting industry participants [2] - The Cass Freight Shipments Index has declined by 5.3% year over year in March, indicating weak freight demand [3] Cost Management - Industry players are focusing on cost-cutting measures to improve productivity and efficiency in response to high inflation and weaker demand [4] - Significant inflation levels are affecting labor, freight, and fuel costs [4] Tariff and Trade Issues - The current U.S. administration's protectionist policies are leading to increased tariffs, particularly affecting major trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and China [5] - The ongoing trade tensions are expected to result in increased volatility and uncertainty for the industry [5] Industry Performance - The Zacks Transportation-Services industry ranks 195 out of 250 Zacks industries, placing it in the bottom 21% [6][7] - The industry's earnings estimate for 2025 has decreased by 21.6% since August 2024, indicating a negative earnings outlook [8] Stock Market Performance - The industry has underperformed the S&P 500, declining by 14.5% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's appreciation of 9.9% [11] - The industry is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.46X, compared to the S&P 500's 4.92X [13] Company Highlights - **Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)**: Currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters with an average beat of 11.6% [17] - **C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)**: Also holds a Zacks Rank 3, has surpassed earnings estimates in each of the past four quarters with an average beat of 14.5% [21] - **Matson (MATX)**: Carries a Zacks Rank 3, has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 12.7% on average [24]