The Zacks Transportation-Services industry is operating in a difficult environment, pressured by weak freight rates, persistently high inflation and ongoing supply-chain disruptions. Adding to these headwinds are tariff-related uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, which continue to pose significant challenges for the industry. However, despite these near-term concerns, there is an underlying case for long-term optimism. Supported by strong fundamentals, companies such as Expeditors International of Wash ...

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Transportation - Equipment and Leasing industry is facing a challenging macroeconomic environment characterized by persistent inflation, tariff-related tensions, and supply-chain disruptions, which are further exacerbated by geopolitical issues [1][6]. Industry Overview - The industry encompasses companies that provide equipment financing, leasing, and supply-chain management services, including aircraft, railcar, and intermodal container lessors [3]. - Participants in this industry offer fleet management solutions to a diverse customer base, including small businesses and large international enterprises, with significant clients in automotive, electronics, transportation, grocery, lumber, food service, and home furnishing sectors [4]. Financial Performance and Outlook - Companies in the industry are demonstrating strong financial returns for shareholders through dividend payouts and share buybacks, indicating financial strength and confidence in their business models [2][5]. - Ryder's board approved a 12% dividend increase, raising its quarterly cash dividend to $0.91 per share, while Wabtec announced a 25% increase, raising its quarterly cash dividend from $0.20 to $0.25 [5]. Economic Challenges - The industry is grappling with economic uncertainties due to tariff tensions and inflation, which are likely to dampen stock prospects and contribute to market volatility [6]. - Lingering supply-chain disruptions and weak freight rates are negatively impacting the industry's performance, with the Cass Freight Shipments Index declining 7.6% year over year in November, marking a downward trend for seven consecutive months [7]. Industry Ranking and Performance - The Zacks Transportation - Equipment and Leasing industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 187, placing it in the bottom 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating gloomy near-term prospects [8][9]. - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed the S&P 500 Composite index, declining 17.8% compared to the S&P 500's increase of 17.8% [11]. Current Valuation - The industry is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.24X, which is below the S&P 500's 23.21X and the sector's P/E ratio of 13.78X [12]. Notable Companies - **AerCap**: Engages in leasing and managing commercial flight equipment, with a strong earnings surprise history and an expected earnings growth rate of 22.81% for 2025, carrying a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [14][15]. - **Wabtec**: Offers technology-based locomotives and services for freight rail and passenger transit, with a strong free cash flow and an expected earnings growth rate of 18.39% for 2025, holding a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [16][17]. - **Herc Holdings**: Operates as an equipment rental supplier, with a solid earnings surprise history and a Zacks Rank of 3 [18][19].

Key Takeaways Boeing shares rose 2.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry.Rising aircraft demand and major defense contracts continue to drive Boeing's expanding backlog.New deals for Apache helicopters, KC-46A tankers and 737 MAX jets strengthen Boeing's long-term outlook.The Boeing Company’s (BA) shares have rallied 2.1% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry’s decline of 3.3%. The company is benefiting from strong momentum across commerci ...

Core Insights - Sanmina Corporation (SANM) is experiencing solid revenue growth, with net sales increasing to $2.09 billion from $2.01 billion year-over-year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $46 million [1][8] Group 1: Company Overview - Sanmina's comprehensive portfolio includes product designing, manufacturing, assembling, testing, and aftermarket support, allowing customers to rely on a single partner throughout the product lifecycle [2] - The company's end-to-end approach and dynamic manufacturing capabilities enable it to navigate global volatility and supply-chain disruptions, making it a preferred choice for organizations [2][8] - Sanmina has a strong presence across multiple end markets, including medical, defense, aerospace, communication, cloud infrastructure, automotive, industrial, and energy, which enhances its business resilience [3][8] Group 2: Growth Potential - The company is prioritizing expansion into high-growth industries, supported by its strong global network and expertise in advanced electronics manufacturing, with projected revenues of $3.1 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 54.51% [4] - Earnings estimates for Sanmina for 2025 and 2026 have increased over the past 60 days, reflecting positive market sentiment [10] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Sanmina faces competition from Jabil, Inc. (JBL) and Celestica Inc. (CLS) in the electronic manufacturing services industry, with Jabil reporting revenues of $8.3 billion, up from $6.96 billion year-over-year, driven by demand in various sectors [5] - Celestica reported quarterly revenues of $3.19 billion, up 27.8% year-over-year, with growth driven by hyperscale customer demand for networking products [6] Group 4: Financial Performance - Sanmina's shares have gained 108.1%, outperforming the Electronics - Manufacturing Services industry's growth of 98.3% [7] - The company's shares currently trade at 15.81 times forward 12-month earnings, which is lower than the industry average [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Transportation - Rail industry is facing multiple challenges, including tariff-induced economic uncertainties, inflationary pressures, high interest rates, and supply-chain disruptions. However, Union Pacific Corporation and CSX Corporation are positioned to navigate these challenges effectively, aided by declining fuel costs which support bottom-line growth [1]. Industry Description - The Zacks Transportation - Rail industry comprises railroad operators that transport various freight types across North America, focusing on logistics and supply-chain services. Revenue primarily comes from freight, with some companies also earning from rail-related services like repairs and land sales [2]. Factors Deciding the Industry's Outlook - Strong financial returns for shareholders are evident as companies increase dividends and buybacks, reflecting financial strength. CSX announced an 8.3% quarterly dividend increase, while Union Pacific raised its quarterly cash dividend by 3% to $1.38 per share [3]. - The decline in oil prices, which fell nearly 20% from the beginning of 2025, is a positive factor for the industry as it reduces fuel expenses, a significant cost for transportation companies [4]. - Economic uncertainty persists due to tariff policies that disrupt supply chains and increase costs, creating challenges for the industry and affecting investor sentiment [5]. Industry Performance and Valuation - The Zacks Transportation - Rail industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 211, placing it in the bottom 13% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating gloomy near-term prospects [6][7]. - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed the S&P 500, declining 8.3% compared to the S&P 500's increase of 12.9%, while the broader sector fell by 15.5% [9][10]. - The industry is trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.82X, lower than the S&P 500's 8.19X but above the sector's 3.12X [13]. Company Insights - Union Pacific, based in Omaha, NE, is well-positioned for growth due to stable e-commerce demand, cost-cutting efforts, and a strong track record of earnings surprises, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the past four quarters [17][18]. - CSX, located in Jacksonville, FL, anticipates total volume growth for 2025, focusing on operational excellence and efficiency initiatives, with capital expenditures projected at $2.5 billion this year [21][22]. CSX has also surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the past four quarters [23].

Core Insights - The Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry is currently facing significant challenges due to ongoing supply-chain disruptions and a softer-than-expected demand environment, leading to weaker package volumes [1][2] Industry Overview - Companies in the Zacks Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry provide air delivery and freight services, often offering specialized transportation and logistics solutions [3] - The health of these companies is closely tied to the overall economy, with major players like UPS transporting millions of packages daily [4] Key Trends - **Demand Slowdown**: There is a notable decline in shipping demand, particularly in Asia and Europe, with the Cass Freight Shipments Index declining by 5.4% year-over-year in September, marking a deteriorating trend over the past seven months [5] - **Rising Cost Pressures**: The industry is experiencing persistent cost inflation, including labor shortages and increased maintenance costs, which are squeezing profitability [6] - **Tariff Turmoil**: Protectionist tariff policies from the U.S. administration are reshaping the transportation service industry, increasing costs and disrupting supply chains [7] - **Fed Rate Cuts**: The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts signal potential relief for the industry by lowering borrowing costs [8][9] Industry Performance - The Zacks Air Freight and Cargo industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 187, placing it in the bottom 23% of 244 Zacks industries, indicating murky near-term prospects [10] - The industry's earnings estimate for 2025 has decreased by 2.3% since September 2025, reflecting a negative outlook [11] - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed the S&P 500, decreasing by 20.4% compared to the S&P 500's growth of 14.2% [13] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 8.72X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 18.24X and the sector's 10.03X [14] Company Highlights - **United Parcel Service (UPS)**: UPS is recognized for its shareholder-friendly activities, including dividends and buybacks, supported by robust free cash flow generation and cost-cutting efforts [15][16] - **FedEx Corp. (FDX)**: FedEx is also noted for rewarding shareholders through dividends and buybacks, with a solid liquidity position and effective cost-cutting measures [17]

Core Insights - Boeing Company's shares have increased by 9.9% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry's growth of 32.5% [1][8] - The company is facing challenges such as labor shortages and ongoing supply-chain issues [1][3] Group 1: Challenges Faced by Boeing - Boeing is experiencing supply-chain disruptions, including shortages of engines and critical components, which are delaying aircraft deliveries and increasing production costs [3][4] - Geopolitical tensions and logistical challenges may prolong these supply constraints until the end of 2025 [4] - According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), aircraft deliveries are currently about 30% below their previous peak, resulting in a record global aircraft backlog of 17,000 units, which negatively impacts Boeing's near-term revenue prospects [5][23] Group 2: Factors Supporting Boeing - Boeing remains a leading aircraft manufacturer in the U.S., with a 38% year-over-year growth in aircraft deliveries for Q3 2025, leading to a 49% increase in revenues for its Boeing Commercial Airplanes (BCA) segment [10][8] - The company secured 161 net commercial airplane orders in the third quarter, which is expected to enhance long-term revenue performance [11] - A new contract-and-delivery mechanism called Rapid Delivery Release (RDR) is anticipated to improve delivery times to military customers, benefiting Boeing's operational efficiency [12] Group 3: Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Boeing's earnings per share (EPS) indicates a significant decrease of 310.48% for 2025 and 34.86% for 2026 over the past 60 days [13] - Boeing's trailing 12-month return on invested capital (ROIC) is negative and below the peer group's average, indicating insufficient returns on investments [17] - Boeing's forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 1.57X, which is lower than the industry's average of 2.35X, suggesting a discount in valuation compared to peers [18][19]

Core Insights - GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) shares have increased by 0.2% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Alternate Energy – Other industry's growth of 9.2% [1][7] - The company is facing significant risks related to supply-chain disruptions, which include high costs and unavailability of necessary products, components, and raw materials [1][21] Challenges Faced by GEV - GE Vernova is experiencing difficulties due to global supply-chain issues affecting various industries, including its own [3] - The company relies on complex global supply networks for components in gas turbines, wind turbines, and grid infrastructure, purchasing nearly $20 billion in materials from over 100 countries [4] - Disruptions in raw material availability and logistical delays are impacting production timelines and increasing input costs, which could hurt profitability [4][21] Business Operations and Performance - GEV designs and delivers advanced industrial products and software-driven solutions for complex projects, including gas turbines, wind turbines, and nuclear power [5] - The company has approximately 57,000 wind turbine units with a total installed capacity exceeding 120 GW, capitalizing on the growing wind sector [9] - GEV's diversified business across Power, Wind, and Electrification allows it to offer a comprehensive suite of solutions, appealing to a broad customer base [10] Earnings Estimates and Financial Metrics - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have declined by 2.04% and 3.42%, respectively, over the past 60 days [7][11] - GEV has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 38.03% [13] - The company's trailing 12-month return on equity is 13.23%, lower than the sector average of 15.07% [15] Valuation and Market Position - GEV is currently trading at a premium compared to its industry on a forward 12-month P/E basis [17] - Other alternative energy stocks, such as Crescent Energy Company and Talen Energy, are trading at a discount compared to the industry's P/E [19]

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Transportation - Equipment and Leasing industry is facing a challenging macroeconomic environment characterized by persistent inflation, tariff-related tensions, and supply-chain disruptions, alongside geopolitical issues [1][5]. Industry Overview - The industry encompasses companies that provide equipment financing, leasing, and supply-chain management services, including aircraft, railcar, and intermodal container lessors. It also includes logistics and transportation solutions for a diverse customer base, primarily in automotive, electronics, transportation, grocery, lumber, food service, and home furnishing sectors [3]. Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns - Companies like Wabtec Corporation and Ryder System are noted for their shareholder-friendly initiatives, such as dividend payouts and share buybacks, indicating strong financial health. Ryder recently approved a 12% dividend increase, raising its quarterly cash dividend to 91 cents per share, while Wabtec announced a 25% increase, raising its quarterly cash dividend from 20 cents to 25 cents [2][4]. Economic Challenges - The industry is grappling with ongoing tariff tensions and inflation, which contribute to economic uncertainty and may hinder stock performance. Supply-chain disruptions and rising operating costs are also limiting growth potential [5][6]. Industry Ranking and Performance - The Zacks Transportation - Equipment and Leasing industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 75, placing it in the top 31% of over 250 Zacks industries. However, it has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 and the broader sector over the past year, declining 18.4% against the S&P 500's increase of 18.7% [7][9][10]. Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.99X, which is lower than the S&P 500's 23.52X and the sector's 13.84X. Historically, the industry has traded between 8.42X and 15.65X over the past five years [13]. Notable Companies to Watch - **Wabtec Corporation**: Focused on technology-based locomotives and services, Wabtec has shown strong earnings performance, with a 17.6% expected earnings growth rate for 2025 [17][19]. - **Ryder System**: A logistics and transportation company with a long history of dividend payments, Ryder has an expected earnings growth rate of 9.3% for 2025 [22][23]. - **The Greenbrier Companies**: Specializing in railroad freight car equipment, Greenbrier has a notable earnings surprise history and an expected earnings growth rate of 33.1% for 2025 [26][28].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Transportation-Services industry is currently facing challenges such as dull freight rates, high inflation, and ongoing supply-chain disruptions, along with tariff-related uncertainties and geopolitical issues [1][4][7] - Companies in this industry provide logistics, leasing, and maintenance services, focusing on global logistics management and third-party logistics solutions [3] Current Trends - Supply-chain disruptions and weak freight rates continue to negatively impact the industry, with the Cass Freight Shipments Index declining by 2.4% year over year in June, marking a deterioration for 11 consecutive months [4] - The industry is experiencing significant inflation, particularly in labor and freight costs, prompting companies to implement cost-cutting measures to improve productivity and efficiency [5] - Despite economic recovery, the industry's earnings outlook is negative, with a 31.2% decrease in earnings estimates for 2025 since August 2024 [10] Financial Performance - The Zacks Transportation-Services industry has underperformed the S&P 500, declining by 12.8% over the past year, while the S&P 500 appreciated by 12.2% [12] - The industry is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.32X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 5.26X and the sector's 1.45X [15] Company Highlights - Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and has consistently beaten earnings estimates by an average of 13.3% over the last four quarters, despite facing weak volumes [17] - C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and has surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 14.5% in the past four quarters, with a strong liquidity position [21] - Matson (MATX), also with a Zacks Rank 3, has implemented effective cost-management actions and has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 9.7% [24]