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The TACO theory on Trump makes every 'dip' a buy, analyst says
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-20 18:27
Core Insights - The article discusses the impact of President Trump's actions on Wall Street, suggesting that enduring market volatility is a key survival strategy for investors [1] - The TACO theory, which posits that Trump often backs down from extreme threats that could harm the economy, has gained traction among investors [2][3] Group 1: Market Reactions - The TACO theory indicates that while Trump may issue aggressive threats, he typically retreats when these threats threaten the stock market or economy [2] - Historical examples, such as the "Liberation Day" tariffs in April 2025, demonstrate that market downturns can present buying opportunities for investors [3] Group 2: Current Administration Focus - The current administration has shifted its focus from Venezuela to various sectors, including credit card companies, healthcare providers, and the Federal Reserve [3] - Trump's potential tariffs on European goods, including a 10% tariff that could rise to 25%, are part of a strategy to exert pressure on allies [4] Group 3: Market Fundamentals - Despite the political noise, the market's rally is supported by four key pillars: earnings growth, stimulus, Federal Reserve support, and the AI boom [6] - The article suggests that while protective measures may be necessary, the "buy the dip" mentality remains relevant for investors [6]
Trump's New Pharma, Truck Tariffs: Terrible Or Toothless?
Forbes· 2025-09-27 09:15
Core Insights - The U.S. imports of heavy-duty trucks are predominantly from Mexico, accounting for 82.31% of total imports this year, with a significant trade deficit with Mexico [3][6][13] - President Trump has announced 100% tariffs on branded pharmaceuticals and 25% tariffs on commercial trucks, effective October 1, as part of efforts to address the $1 trillion annual trade deficit [4][12] - The heavy-duty truck market, valued at $24.1 billion in imports through July, may not be severely impacted if exemptions are granted under the USMCA treaty [6][11] Industry Impact - The commercial vehicle manufacturers such as Daimler, Paccar, Volvo, and Traton, which have manufacturing operations in Mexico, could face challenges due to the new tariffs [8][15] - The U.S. heavy-duty truck exports totaled $10.6 billion, with nearly 70% directed to Canada, indicating a significant trade relationship that could be affected by tariff changes [11] - The U.S. trade deficit with Mexico reached $112.59 billion through July, making it the second-largest deficit after China, highlighting the importance of this trade relationship [13][14] Tariff Details - The tariffs on pharmaceuticals and heavy-duty trucks are categorized under Section 232 tariffs, which are justified by the administration on national security grounds [12] - The announcement of tariffs has raised questions about their actual impact, with some analysts suggesting that they may be more symbolic than effective if exemptions are applied [15] - The U.S. deficit with Ireland has also increased significantly, totaling $84.81 billion through July, which is noteworthy in the context of the broader trade discussions [14]