Tariff Talks

Search documents
摩根士丹利:在关税谈判起伏不定之际,我们如今的贸易状况如何?
摩根· 2025-05-29 14:12
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Attractive" investment rating to the Internet industry in North America [2]. Core Insights - Internet stocks experienced a decline of 1% last week, with notable movements in major companies such as META and AMZN, both down by 2%, while GOOGL saw a slight increase of 1% [2][10]. - The delay of Trump's proposed 50% tariffs on the EU, originally set for June 1 and now postponed to July 9, impacted market performance negatively in the latter part of the week [2]. - The report highlights significant price movements for specific companies, with RDDT down 11%, ABNB down 8%, and U down 9% [2]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall market performance for Internet names was a decline of 1%, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indices falling by 3% and 2% respectively [10]. - The market-cap weighted average for digital ads showed a slight decline of 0.3%, while e-commerce saw a decrease of 2.1% [5]. Company Valuations - Valuations for major companies are as follows: AMZN at 28X, GOOGL at 17X, and META at 23X for 2026 EPS, reflecting changes of -9%, -11%, and +4% compared to the trailing twelve months average [2]. - The report provides a comprehensive comparison of various companies' market caps, EV, and multiples, indicating a range of valuations across the sector [4]. Price Movements - The report details the price movements of key players, with AMZN and GOOGL showing short interest percentages of 0.7% and 1.2% respectively, while META had a short interest of 1.4% [7]. - The one-week price performance for selected companies indicates a mixed trend, with some companies like PTON showing a significant increase of 19.4% while others like RDDT faced a decline of 11% [5][7].
Disney Earnings: A Closer Look
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 00:20
Core Insights - The earnings season is currently very active, with decent overall performance, but recent tariff discussions have led to downward revisions in earnings expectations for Q2 and future periods [1] - Disney is set to report earnings this week, with a focus on its streaming performance in light of Netflix's recent strong results [2] Company Performance - Netflix has shown impressive results, with a 90% stock increase over the past year and reaffirmation of FY25 guidance, which has positively impacted investor sentiment [3] - Netflix has maintained subscriber growth, reporting only one quarter of negative growth in the last 12 quarters, and the introduction of ad-supported tiers has been successful despite initial consumer resistance [4] - A crackdown on password sharing has also proven beneficial for Netflix, allowing the company to capture revenue from previously unmonetized viewers [5] Disney Outlook - Analysts have a bearish outlook for Disney's upcoming quarter, with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate at $1.18, reflecting a 3% decline since February and a projected 3% year-over-year pullback, while sales are expected to grow by 5% to $23.1 billion [6][8] - Disney's subscriber growth is slower compared to Netflix, with 174 million total subscriptions and 120 million paid Disney+ Core subscribers, marking an increase of 4.4 million from the previous quarter [10] - The overall sentiment for Disney remains negative, with a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) indicating widespread negative revisions [11][13]