Tariff and Trade Policy Uncertainty

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Canadian Pacific Stock Declines 0.8% Since Q2 Earnings Release
ZACKSยท 2025-08-06 16:11
Core Insights - Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) reported disappointing second-quarter 2025 results, with both earnings and revenues falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1][9] Financial Performance - The quarterly earnings, excluding 15 cents from non-recurring items, were 81 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.2%, but improved 5.2% year-over-year [2] - Operating revenues totaled $2.67 billion, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.3%, yet showing a year-over-year increase of 1.5% [2] - Total Freight revenues per revenue ton miles decreased by 4% year-over-year, while total Freight revenues per carload declined by 3% year-over-year [2] Operating Metrics - On a reported basis, operating income increased by 6%, with total operating expenses growing by 0.9% year-over-year [3] - The operating ratio improved, falling 110 basis points to 63.7% from 64.8% in the same quarter last year [3] Segment Performance - Freight revenues, which accounted for 98.1% of total revenues, increased by 2.7%, driven by growth in Grain (up 12%) and Intermodal (up 9%), while significant declines were noted in Automotive (down 28%) and Metals, minerals and consumer products (down 20%) [4] - Other revenues rose by 1.3% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2025 [4] Liquidity Position - At the end of the second quarter, CP had cash and cash equivalents of C$799 million, up from C$739 million at the end of December 2024 [5] - Long-term debt increased to C$21.23 billion from C$19.8 billion at the end of the fourth quarter of 2024 [5] Future Outlook - CP expects 2025 core adjusted combined diluted earnings per share to grow in the range of 10-14% from 2024 actuals, targeting C$4.25 per share [6] - The company anticipates mid-single-digit growth in 2025 revenue ton miles (RTMs) compared to 2024 actuals [6] - Capital expenditures for the full year are projected to be C$2.9 billion, with a core adjusted effective tax rate expected at 24.5% [6]