Core Insights - The shipping sector is expected to see a shift from headwinds to tailwinds due to improving geopolitical conditions and trade negotiations, particularly between the US and China [21][22][26] - CMB.TECH is highlighted as a top pick for 2026, primarily focused on dry bulk shipping, which is anticipated to benefit from new mining operations and a shift in cargo routes [12][15][19] - The overall performance of shipping investments in 2025 yielded a 23% return year-to-date, outperforming broader market indices like the Russell and S&P 500 [6][7] Company and Industry Overview - Value Investor's Edge has grown significantly over the past decade, now comprising a team of 11 and over 700 active members, celebrating its 10-year anniversary [5][7] - The shipping market has shown resilience, with returns of 50% to 55% in previous years, although 2025 was considered a good but not excellent year [6][5] - The dry bulk sector has been underinvested in new capacity, which may lead to opportunities as demand increases from new mining projects, particularly in Guinea [15][16] Investment Strategies - The focus for 2026 will be on high-quality, defensive stocks with stronger balance sheets and larger backlogs, reflecting a cautious approach amid macroeconomic uncertainties [10][11] - Stock selection metrics will prioritize companies with favorable fair value estimates, projected earnings, and dividends, while avoiding those with risky management or balance sheets [33][34] - The importance of dividends is emphasized, advising caution against high-yield stocks that may not sustain payouts during market downturns [40][42] Market Outlook - The macroeconomic environment is expected to improve, with stronger GDP growth anticipated in both the US and Asia, countering earlier recession fears [26][28] - A thematic rotation from tech stocks to value-oriented sectors, including shipping, is seen as a potential positive trend for the industry [29][31] - The shipping sector is positioned to benefit from increased trade and improved economic conditions, with a focus on quality investments to navigate potential market volatility [32][46]