Trade negotiations between US and China
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NVDA Tech "Super PAC" with INTC Deal, China Biggest Uncertainty
Youtubeยท 2025-09-22 17:00
Core Viewpoint - The recent partnership between Nvidia and Intel is seen as a net positive for both companies, enhancing Nvidia's presence in the PC market and Intel's integration within Nvidia's data center architecture [2][3][5]. Nvidia and Intel Partnership - The partnership is expected to provide Nvidia with increased traction in the PC sector, while Intel gains a foothold in Nvidia's data center ecosystem [3][4]. - However, the impact on Nvidia's PC business is not anticipated to be significant, as it is not expected to drive substantial revenue changes [4]. - The collaboration may improve Nvidia's standing with the US administration amid ongoing trade negotiations with China [5]. Importance of China Market - Access to the Chinese market is critical for Nvidia's future growth, with estimates suggesting a potential market size of $50 to $75 billion within the next 12 months [10][11]. - Nvidia's current growth is projected at a mid-single-digit pace, but without contributions from China, this growth could slow significantly [11]. - The Chinese government's restrictions on Nvidia's products could be a strategic move in trade negotiations, impacting Nvidia's revenue potential [10]. Competitive Landscape - Nvidia is expected to maintain its technological leadership despite potential challenges in accessing the Chinese market, as domestic suppliers in China lag behind Nvidia in technology [13][14]. - Financial performance for Nvidia is heavily reliant on maintaining some level of access to the Chinese market, which is currently uncertain [14]. Future Outlook - There is optimism regarding Nvidia's ability to negotiate favorable terms for continued access to the Chinese market, particularly with the potential approval of advanced chips like the Blackwell [15][16]. - Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Nvidia, with a buy rating and a price target of $210, despite a slight decline in share price [16].