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Gold & Silver New Peaks: Trends & Cautious Investment Moves
Benzinga· 2025-10-06 15:24
Core Insights - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are experiencing record price surges, with gold exceeding $3,900 per ounce and silver reaching $48 per troy ounce, prompting discussions on investment strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Reasons for Price Increases - The rise in gold prices is primarily attributed to geopolitical tensions, leading to a search for reliable assets as central banks and investors view gold as a "safe haven" [2]. - Declining interest rates are also a significant factor, as historical trends indicate that gold prices rise when interest rates fall, with potential for further rate cuts [2]. - Trade wars are negatively impacting fiat currencies, particularly the US dollar, which in turn boosts gold prices as it becomes more valuable relative to depreciating currencies [3]. - Production factors are currently less influential on gold prices, with increasing uncertainty in Africa potentially supporting higher gold prices [4]. Group 2: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver's price increase is driven by its industrial demand, particularly in electric vehicles, batteries, and electronics, distinguishing it from gold's role as a crisis barometer [6]. - However, the silver market shows signs of saturation in electric vehicle and battery sectors, leading to modest expectations for significant price increases [7]. - Silver prices are more volatile than gold, influenced by the global economy and US supply chain dynamics, making forecasts less reliable [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - For physical gold investment, it is more suitable for collectors or individuals in countries where gold holds cultural significance, while storage costs can be prohibitive [9]. - Investing through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is recommended for both gold and silver, providing accessibility for beginners, though it lacks direct ownership of the metals [10]. - Shares in gold mining companies present another investment avenue, with notable companies including Newmont, Barrick Gold, and Freeport McMoRan, though this requires a deep market understanding [11]. - Futures trading on exchanges like the Chicago Stock Exchange is an option for experienced investors, but it is more complex [11].
Gold prices soar to new records amid US government shutdown
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-01 17:21
NEW YORK (AP) — As uncertainty deepens amid the U.S. government's first shutdown in almost seven years, the gold frenzy continues to climb to new heights. The going price for New York spot gold hit a record $3,858.45 per troy ounce — the standard for measuring precious metals — as of market close Tuesday, ahead of the shutdown beginning overnight. And futures continued to climb on Wednesday, dancing with the $3,900 mark as of midday trading. Gold sales can rise sharply when anxious investors seek “safe h ...
‘PRETTY NERVOUS': Fed official explains the warning flags for inflation
Youtube· 2025-09-30 22:30
Fox Business Alert. Your home renovations just got more expensive. President Trump issuing a new set of tariffs last night.A 10% levy on imported softwood lumber and then lumber and a 25% duty on kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities, and upholstered furniture manufactured outside the United States. To be paid, by the way, these tariffs by US companies importing these products. These tariffs are set to take effect 12:01 a.m. Eastern on October 14th. Now, let's look at some of the stocks.Maybe 6 months ago, th ...
Layoffs Might Be Worse Than Economists Say
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-17 14:04
Core Insights - The job market is showing signs of deterioration, with a shift towards medium-level layoffs despite previous perceptions of low hiring and firing rates [2][4]. Group 1: Labor Market Trends - Recent data indicates a slowdown in hiring, with layoffs increasing to levels that are at or above normal [3][4]. - Unemployment claims have surged to their highest level in four years, and layoff announcements were 13% higher in August compared to the previous year [3][4]. Group 2: Economic Implications - Economists at UBS suggest that the economy may be at a greater risk of recession than previously thought, challenging the narrative of low layoffs [4]. - The analysis indicates that if hiring continues to slow, the labor market could enter a contraction phase [4]. Group 3: External Factors - Many economists attribute the job market's challenges to President Trump's economic policies, particularly the increase in tariffs, which have created uncertainty and increased costs for businesses [5]. - The trade wars have led to reduced hiring and, in some cases, layoffs among current employees [5].
Gov. Wes Moore welcomes ‘federal support’ but not National Guard to Baltimore: Full interview
NBC News· 2025-09-07 13:45
Economic Impact of Trade and Tariff Policies - Trade wars and random tariff policies are impacting jobs and prices, affecting everyday consumers and businesses [2][3][4] - Tariff policies are increasing unpredictability and raising prices for American consumers [4] Public Safety and Federal Support - The Governor accepts federal support for law enforcement but notes cuts to FBI, ATF, and violence prevention programs in the President's proposed budget [5][6] - Baltimore's assaults with deadly weapons decreased by 10%, while DC's increased by 8% during a similar period, without mobilizing the National Guard [7] - The National Guard's activities in DC included spreading 744 cubic yards of mulch, collecting 886 bags of trash, and painting 270 feet of fence [11] Vaccine Policy - Maryland will maintain its vaccine policies from December 31st of last year, ensuring vaccine availability and safety, and not giving in to conspiracy theories [14] Redistricting - All options are on the table regarding redistricting in Maryland [17] - Less than 10% of all congressional districts are competitive [19]
August jobs report: hiring stalls with unemployment up to 4.3%
Fastcompany· 2025-09-05 18:01
Fast Company Innovation Festival Ticket Giveaway—Enter now! LOGIN SUBSCRIBE | FastCo Works advertisement BYÂ Associated Press Listen to this ArticleMore info 0:00 / 0:00 U.S. employers added just 22,000 jobs last month as the labor market continued to cool under uncertainty over President Donald Trump's economic policies.The Labor Department said Friday that hiring decelerated from 79,000 in July and came in below the roughly 80,000 economists had expected for August. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.3% ...
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-09-03 12:00
Last week, a judge ruled that most of President Donald Trump's tariffs are illegal, setting up a showdown in the Supreme Court. That leaves the future of Trump's trade wars once again up in the air. https://t.co/9dORBycTx5 ...
'Nothing is fixed': Trump's new tariff regime is lacking some key details
MSNBC· 2025-08-09 04:37
Trade Policy & Economic Impact - The Trump administration's tariffs have pushed the average tariff rate to 186%, levels not seen since the 1930s [1] - These tariffs introduce uncertainty, potentially causing domestic businesses to retract and impacting consumer affordability [9][10] - Tariffs could cost US households approximately $2,400 per year [17] - There are nearly 2 million people unemployed, the highest level since the pandemic [16] Legal & Political Challenges - The legality of the tariffs is being challenged in court, with the Federal Circuit potentially ruling them unlawful [12] - The statute used to justify the tariffs doesn't explicitly mention tariffs, circumventing established trade deal frameworks [14][15] - The impact of the trade wars may influence the 2026 political landscape and Trump's long-term legacy [28] Global Trade & Business Uncertainty - The current trade situation is confusing for companies, with sectoral and country tariffs intersecting [6][7] - Trade deals lack detailed documentation, relying on "made for TV tweets and comments," leading to disagreements and back trading [5] - Trump's approach of continuously revisiting deals creates uncertainty for countries and companies, hindering planning and management [8]
Jefferies:中国钢铁减产的反直觉后果
2025-07-14 00:36
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Metals & Mining** industry, particularly the **Chinese steel production** and its implications on global markets [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Chinese Steel Production Cuts**: Chinese officials have mandated the closure of up to **50 million tonnes per annum (mtpa)** of steel capacity to address structural overcapacity issues, which is expected to support finished steel prices globally [1][2]. - **Impact on Exports**: Despite a **0.6% year-over-year (y/y)** increase in steel production in Q1, domestic demand declined by over **1%**. Finished steel exports rose by **9% y/y** through May, indicating a strategy to shift overproduction to foreign markets [2]. - **Trade Barriers**: The steel industry faces challenges from rising trade barriers, with Baowu Steel projecting a **15 million tonne** decline in exports by 2025 due to trade measures, which could lead to a significant downturn in the second half of the year [2]. - **Domestic Demand Decline**: Baowu anticipates a **2% potential decline** in domestic steel demand this year, suggesting that even with stimulus measures, production and demand are likely to decrease [2]. - **Peak Steel**: The analysis suggests that China has reached "peak steel," indicating a potential long-term decline in production levels [2]. Implications for Raw Material Markets - **Seaborne Demand**: The cuts in steel production may initially reduce demand for iron ore and metallurgical coal, as China accounts for approximately **70%** and **20%** of seaborne demand in these markets, respectively [3]. - **Global Steel Production**: Countries like India, South Korea, and Vietnam may benefit from reduced Chinese exports, potentially leading to increased steel production and higher global steel prices [3]. - **Price Recovery**: Lower Chinese steel exports could catalyze a recovery in seaborne metallurgical coal demand and prices, as well as high-grade iron ore prices [4]. Market Outlook - **Neutral Stance**: The outlook for iron ore and metallurgical coal markets is neutral in the near term, with expectations of adequate supply. However, lower Chinese exports could positively impact demand and prices for these commodities [4]. - **Preferred Miners**: Vale and Glencore are identified as preferred major global miners for exposure to potential price upside in metallurgical coal and high-grade iron ore [4]. Additional Important Information - **Financial Metrics**: The conference call includes various financial metrics and forecasts for commodities, including price forecasts for iron ore and coal, as well as company-specific financial data for Vale and Glencore [6][10]. - **Analyst Ratings**: The call features analyst ratings and price targets for companies within the sector, indicating a "Buy" rating for both Vale and Glencore, with specific price targets set for their stocks [8][10]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and implications discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the Metals & Mining industry, particularly in relation to Chinese steel production and its global impact.
Jamie Dimon sells $31.5M worth of JPMorgan shares in latest round of stock sales
New York Post· 2025-04-14 23:44
Core Insights - JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon sold approximately $31.5 million worth of the bank's shares, marking his first sale since becoming CEO in 2005 [1][2] - The bank surpassed first-quarter profit estimates due to record equities trading and increased fees from debt underwriting and mergers [1][2] - Dimon's 2024 pay package increased by 8.3% to $39 million, reflecting his continued influence in the industry [2] Share Sale Details - Dimon sold 133,639 shares at a closing price of $234.72, which represents a 0.6% decline on that day [2] - The share sale is part of JPMorgan's preparations for a future leadership transition, as Dimon is 69 years old and has led the bank for 19 years [2][3] Succession Planning - The bank's board is focused on succession planning, which Dimon identified as his most important task [3] - Dimon has expressed concerns about potential long-term negative impacts of trade wars, including persistent inflation and high fiscal deficits [3]